xgEdge

Saturday, 10/10/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Middlesbrough 1:0 Wolverhampton

Middlesbrough Home 0.90 xG · 14 shots
Wolverhampton Away 0.68 xG · 12 shots
10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 57' Will Lankshear Middlesbrough · 0.18 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Middlesbrough Wolverhampton
Shots
14
12
On target
6
2
Inside the box
7
6
xG per shot
0.07
0.05
Open play xG
0.64
0.31
Set-piece xG
0.33
0.27
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.96 for Middlesbrough and 0.57 for Wolverhampton.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Wolverhampton · Adam Armstrong · 90' · No goal · 4 m · 0.21 xG Middlesbrough · Will Lankshear · 57' · Goal · 6 m · 0.18 xG Middlesbrough · Sebastian Berhalter · 44' · No goal · 18 m · 0.10 xG Middlesbrough · Will Lankshear · 51' · No goal · 9 m · 0.10 xG Middlesbrough · Will Lankshear · 14' · No goal · 18 m · 0.10 xG Middlesbrough · Adilson Malanda · 32' · No goal · 9 m · 0.09 xG Middlesbrough · Ashley Phillips · 88' · No goal · 4 m · 0.08 xG Middlesbrough · Kyle Joseph · 88' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Middlesbrough · Sebastian Berhalter · 68' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG Middlesbrough · Will Lankshear · 15' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Middlesbrough · Amario Cozier-Duberry · 72' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Wolverhampton · Rafiki Saïd · 85' · No goal · 7 m · 0.05 xG Wolverhampton · Marshall Munetsi · 45' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Wolverhampton · Marshall Munetsi · 22' · No goal · 8 m · 0.05 xG Wolverhampton · Fer López · 82' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Middlesbrough · Sebastian Berhalter · 35' · No goal · 17 m · 0.04 xG Wolverhampton · Marshall Munetsi · 60' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Wolverhampton · Adam Armstrong · 65' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Wolverhampton · Jean-Ricner Bellegarde · 69' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Middlesbrough · Will Lankshear · 73' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Wolverhampton · Marshall Munetsi · 43' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Wolverhampton · Tommy Doyle · 45' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Wolverhampton · Rafiki Saïd · 90' · No goal · 5 m · 0.02 xG Wolverhampton · Fer López · 63' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG Middlesbrough · Sebastian Berhalter · 23' · No goal · 26 m · 0.01 xG Middlesbrough · Riley McGree · 68' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

26 shots · 1.55 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Middlesbrough
  • Wolverhampton
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Middlesbrough

1.99 xG created 1.27 xGA

  • W 2.46 created, 1.40 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • D 1.22 created, 0.64 conceded against Burnley
  • W 2.53 created, 1.03 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • W 2.07 created, 1.62 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 1.52 created, 1.69 conceded against Millwall
  • D 2.14 created, 1.23 conceded against Birmingham City
Wolverhampton

1.86 xG created 0.98 xGA

  • W 1.54 created, 0.66 conceded against Preston North End
  • W 2.66 created, 0.83 conceded against Stoke City
  • L 0.94 created, 2.05 conceded against West Ham United
  • D 2.47 created, 1.39 conceded against Birmingham City
  • W 1.57 created, 0.63 conceded against Sheffield United
  • W 1.95 created, 0.29 conceded against West Bromwich Albion

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.