Middlesbrough 2:2 Millwall: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 15/09/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Middlesbrough Home 1.52 xG · 22 shots

Millwall Away 1.69 xG · 11 shots

22 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

11' Tairyk Arconte Millwall · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
36' Lyndon Dykes Millwall · 0.65 xG chance 0–2
50' Amario Cozier-Duberry Middlesbrough · 0.06 xG chance 1–2
61' Will Lankshear Middlesbrough · 0.34 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Middlesbrough Millwall

Shots: 22; 11
On target: 7; 4
Inside the box: 11; 11
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.33; 0.18
Set-piece xG: 0.49; 1.28
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.79 for Middlesbrough and 1.46 for Millwall.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

33 shots · 3.28 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Middlesbrough
Millwall
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Middlesbrough

1.99 xG created 1.03 xGA

W 2.23 created, 0.57 conceded against Lincoln City
L 1.43 created, 0.91 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
W 2.46 created, 1.40 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
D 1.22 created, 0.64 conceded against Burnley
W 2.53 created, 1.03 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
W 2.07 created, 1.62 conceded against Norwich City

Millwall

2.00 xG created 1.40 xGA

W 3.40 created, 0.52 conceded against Bristol City
W 2.69 created, 1.02 conceded against Norwich City
L 1.35 created, 3.62 conceded against Southampton
L 0.23 created, 0.88 conceded against Wrexham
W 2.63 created, 1.15 conceded against Bolton Wanderers
L 1.67 created, 1.23 conceded against Blackburn Rovers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Middlesbrough: 1 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.