Millwall 1:3 Hull City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 13/12/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Millwall Home 0.82 xG · 11 shots

Hull City Away 2.03 xG · 10 shots

13 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

6' Kyle Joseph Hull City · 0.50 xG chance 0–1
13' Kyle Joseph Hull City · 1.00 xG chance 0–2
80' Aidomo Emakhu Millwall · 0.31 xG chance 1–2
88' Oli McBurnie Hull City · 0.07 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Millwall Hull City

Shots: 11; 10
On target: 6; 6
Inside the box: 9; 5
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.21
Open play xG: 0.74; 2.05
Set-piece xG: 0.08; 0.03
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.82 for Millwall and 2.08 for Hull City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 2.90 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Millwall
Hull City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Millwall

1.40 xG created 1.14 xGA

D 1.82 created, 0.68 conceded against Preston North End
L 0.44 created, 1.59 conceded against Portsmouth
W 2.45 created, 0.70 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
W 1.83 created, 1.20 conceded against Southampton
W 0.97 created, 1.44 conceded against Bristol City
D 0.91 created, 1.20 conceded against Derby County

Hull City

1.52 xG created 1.67 xGA

W 2.36 created, 1.29 conceded against Portsmouth
L 1.12 created, 3.02 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
L 0.50 created, 2.32 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 1.18 created, 0.80 conceded against Stoke City
L 1.04 created, 1.29 conceded against Middlesbrough
W 2.93 created, 1.32 conceded against Wrexham

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.