Millwall 1:1 Preston North End: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 08/11/2025 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Millwall Home 1.82 xG · 14 shots

Preston North End Away 0.68 xG · 8 shots

11 Millwall had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

15' Michael Smith Preston North End · 0.32 xG chance 0–1
36' Mihailo Ivanović Millwall · 0.75 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Millwall Preston North End

Shots: 14; 8
On target: 4; 6
Inside the box: 9; 6
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.09
Open play xG: 1.36; 0.71
Set-piece xG: 0.42; 0.04
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.82 for Millwall and 0.74 for Preston North End.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 2.53 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Millwall
Preston North End
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Millwall

1.32 xG created 0.98 xGA

W 0.77 created, 0.42 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
W 1.64 created, 1.87 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
W 1.48 created, 0.44 conceded against Stoke City
W 1.51 created, 0.76 conceded against Leicester City
D 2.42 created, 0.63 conceded against Oxford United
L 0.12 created, 1.74 conceded against Birmingham City

Preston North End

1.52 xG created 1.04 xGA

W 1.81 created, 0.54 conceded against Charlton Athletic
L 1.39 created, 1.30 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
L 1.38 created, 0.83 conceded against Birmingham City
W 1.57 created, 2.37 conceded against Sheffield United
W 2.24 created, 0.53 conceded against Southampton
W 0.71 created, 0.69 conceded against Swansea City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.