Derby County 1:1 Millwall: xG & match report · Championship

Wednesday, 10/12/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Derby County Home 1.20 xG · 14 shots

Millwall Away 0.91 xG · 13 shots

11 Derby County had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

81' Matt Clarke (o.g.) Millwall 0–1
88' Jake Cooper (o.g.) Derby County 1–1

The shots behind it

Derby County Millwall

Shots: 14; 13
On target: 5; 3
Inside the box: 10; 8
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.62; 0.73
Set-piece xG: 0.59; 0.19
Penalties: —; —

Derby County's shots add up to 1.21 xG; the published figure is 1.20.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 2.12 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Derby County
Millwall
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Derby County

0.97 xG created 1.20 xGA

W 0.84 created, 1.28 conceded against Hull City
W 0.95 created, 1.09 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
L 0.62 created, 1.47 conceded against Watford
W 1.05 created, 0.63 conceded against Swansea City
L 0.92 created, 1.53 conceded against Middlesbrough
L 1.43 created, 1.20 conceded against Leicester City

Millwall

1.27 xG created 1.22 xGA

L 0.12 created, 1.74 conceded against Birmingham City
D 1.82 created, 0.68 conceded against Preston North End
L 0.44 created, 1.59 conceded against Portsmouth
W 2.45 created, 0.70 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
W 1.83 created, 1.20 conceded against Southampton
W 0.97 created, 1.44 conceded against Bristol City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.