xgEdge

Saturday, 18/10/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Norwich City 0:1 Bristol City

Norwich City Home 0.58 xG · 11 shots
Bristol City Away 2.06 xG · 21 shots
01 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 73' Mark Sykes Bristol City · 0.17 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Norwich City Bristol City
Shots
11
21
On target
4
6
Inside the box
5
15
xG per shot
0.07
0.10
Open play xG
0.75
1.31
Set-piece xG
0.02
0.76
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.78 for Norwich City and 2.08 for Bristol City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Norwich City · Emiliano Marcondes · 56' · No goal · 12 m · 0.29 xG Bristol City · Anis Mehmeti · 73' · No goal · 8 m · 0.27 xG Bristol City · Anis Mehmeti · 80' · No goal · 14 m · 0.22 xG Norwich City · Jack Stacey · 84' · No goal · 8 m · 0.20 xG Bristol City · Zak Vyner · 81' · No goal · 5 m · 0.18 xG Bristol City · Mark Sykes · 73' · Goal · 3 m · 0.17 xG Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 87' · No goal · 4 m · 0.15 xG Bristol City · Zak Vyner · 81' · No goal · 5 m · 0.14 xG Bristol City · Zak Vyner · 66' · No goal · 12 m · 0.13 xG Bristol City · Ross McCrorie · 54' · No goal · 18 m · 0.10 xG Bristol City · Ross McCrorie · 62' · No goal · 14 m · 0.09 xG Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 35' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG Bristol City · Neto Borges · 41' · No goal · 18 m · 0.08 xG Bristol City · Scott Twine · 6' · No goal · 12 m · 0.08 xG Bristol City · Emil Riis Jacobsen · 73' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Bristol City · Neto Borges · 27' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG Bristol City · Robert Atkinson · 80' · No goal · 10 m · 0.06 xG Norwich City · Ante Crnac · 77' · No goal · 22 m · 0.05 xG Norwich City · Josh Sargent · 77' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Bristol City · Rob Dickie · 80' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Bristol City · Scott Twine · 39' · No goal · 20 m · 0.04 xG Norwich City · Pelle Mattsson · 23' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · George Tanner · 81' · No goal · 22 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Adam Randell · 80' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Norwich City · Oscar Schwartau · 34' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Norwich City · Josh Sargent · 18' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Bristol City · Neto Borges · 81' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Norwich City · Matěj Jurásek · 23' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Norwich City · Josh Sargent · 65' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Norwich City · Jack Stacey · 76' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Mark Sykes · 80' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Norwich City · Pelle Mattsson · 89' · No goal · 32 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

32 shots · 2.83 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Norwich City
  • Bristol City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Norwich City

1.30 xG created 1.91 xGA

  • W 2.09 created, 1.92 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • D 0.18 created, 3.68 conceded against Coventry City
  • L 2.34 created, 1.30 conceded against Wrexham
  • D 1.32 created, 1.85 conceded against Stoke City
  • L 1.39 created, 0.89 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • L 0.46 created, 1.80 conceded against Ipswich Town
Bristol City

1.83 xG created 1.24 xGA

  • W 3.49 created, 2.60 conceded against Hull City
  • W 1.39 created, 0.83 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • L 1.18 created, 1.72 conceded against Oxford United
  • D 2.32 created, 0.42 conceded against Preston North End
  • D 1.38 created, 1.38 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • L 1.21 created, 0.48 conceded against Queens Park Rangers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.