xgEdge

Monday, 06/04/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Ipswich Town 2:1 Birmingham City

Ipswich Town Home 1.78 xG · 11 shots
Birmingham City Away 0.41 xG · 9 shots
21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 32' Carlos Vicente Birmingham City · 0.09 xG chance 0–1
  2. 41' Ben Johnson Ipswich Town · 0.28 xG chance 1–1
  3. 45' Kasey McAteer Ipswich Town · 0.69 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Ipswich Town Birmingham City
Shots
11
9
On target
5
4
Inside the box
9
7
xG per shot
0.16
0.05
Open play xG
1.20
0.39
Set-piece xG
0.60
0.04
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.78 for Ipswich Town and 0.42 for Birmingham City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Ipswich Town · Kasey McAteer · 45' · Goal · 8 m · 0.69 xG Ipswich Town · Kasey McAteer · 32' · No goal · 8 m · 0.44 xG Ipswich Town · Ben Johnson · 41' · Goal · 7 m · 0.28 xG Ipswich Town · Kasey McAteer · 50' · No goal · 14 m · 0.14 xG Birmingham City · Ibrahim Osman · 78' · No goal · 2 m · 0.10 xG Birmingham City · Ethan Laird · 85' · No goal · 5 m · 0.09 xG Birmingham City · Carlos Vicente · 32' · Goal · 15 m · 0.09 xG Ipswich Town · Marcelino Núñez · 23' · No goal · 13 m · 0.07 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 73' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Ipswich Town · Kasey McAteer · 1' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Ipswich Town · Marcelino Núñez · 39' · No goal · 29 m · 0.04 xG Ipswich Town · Dara O'Shea · 84' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Ipswich Town · Anis Mehmeti · 45' · No goal · 4 m · 0.03 xG Ipswich Town · George Hirst · 45' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Ipswich Town · George Hirst · 62' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 72' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Birmingham City · Ibrahim Osman · 85' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Ethan Laird · 90' · No goal · 12 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Jhon Solís · 61' · No goal · 14 m · 0.01 xG Birmingham City · Tomoki Iwata · 49' · No goal · 23 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

20 shots · 2.22 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Ipswich Town
  • Birmingham City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Ipswich Town

1.63 xG created 1.05 xGA

  • W 1.18 created, 0.36 conceded against Swansea City
  • W 1.54 created, 0.27 conceded against Hull City
  • D 1.85 created, 0.18 conceded against Leicester City
  • D 1.48 created, 3.43 conceded against Stoke City
  • W 2.34 created, 0.38 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • D 1.38 created, 1.67 conceded against Millwall
Birmingham City

0.79 xG created 1.13 xGA

  • L 0.61 created, 1.07 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • L 0.32 created, 0.92 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • W 1.58 created, 0.37 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • D 1.01 created, 1.74 conceded against Sheffield United
  • L 0.15 created, 1.16 conceded against Derby County
  • L 1.06 created, 1.52 conceded against Blackburn Rovers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Ipswich Town: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.