xgEdge

Friday, 03/04/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Birmingham City 0:1 Blackburn Rovers

Birmingham City Home 1.06 xG · 12 shots
Blackburn Rovers Away 1.52 xG · 16 shots
01 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 69' Todd Cantwell Blackburn Rovers · 0.25 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Birmingham City Blackburn Rovers
Shots
12
16
On target
5
4
Inside the box
7
11
xG per shot
0.09
0.10
Open play xG
1.02
1.47
Set-piece xG
0.09
0.15
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.10 for Birmingham City and 1.67 for Blackburn Rovers.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Blackburn Rovers · Harry Pickering · 29' · No goal · 7 m · 0.66 xG Birmingham City · Tommy Doyle · 81' · No goal · 7 m · 0.49 xG Blackburn Rovers · Todd Cantwell · 69' · Goal · 11 m · 0.25 xG Birmingham City · Ibrahim Osman · 38' · No goal · 4 m · 0.23 xG Blackburn Rovers · Todd Cantwell · 29' · No goal · 13 m · 0.21 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 55' · No goal · 13 m · 0.09 xG Birmingham City · Tomoki Iwata · 81' · No goal · 10 m · 0.08 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Blackburn Rovers · Todd Cantwell · 59' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Birmingham City · Marvin Ducksch · 6' · No goal · 7 m · 0.05 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 73' · No goal · 11 m · 0.05 xG Blackburn Rovers · Harry Pickering · 40' · No goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 59' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Birmingham City · Ethan Laird · 48' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Blackburn Rovers · Tom Atcheson · 55' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Birmingham City · Tomoki Iwata · 75' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Blackburn Rovers · Scott Wharton · 67' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Blackburn Rovers · Todd Cantwell · 14' · No goal · 20 m · 0.04 xG Birmingham City · Marvin Ducksch · 22' · No goal · 29 m · 0.04 xG Birmingham City · Ethan Laird · 62' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Birmingham City · Seung Ho Paik · 39' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Blackburn Rovers · Tom Atcheson · 16' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Blackburn Rovers · Moussa Baradji · 55' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Tomoki Iwata · 47' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Blackburn Rovers · Ryoya Morishita · 67' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 68' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Blackburn Rovers · Adam Forshaw · 14' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Blackburn Rovers · Sean McLoughlin · 49' · No goal · 12 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

28 shots · 2.73 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Birmingham City
  • Blackburn Rovers
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Birmingham City

0.63 xG created 1.08 xGA

  • L 0.12 created, 1.21 conceded against Millwall
  • L 0.61 created, 1.07 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • L 0.32 created, 0.92 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • W 1.58 created, 0.37 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • D 1.01 created, 1.74 conceded against Sheffield United
  • L 0.15 created, 1.16 conceded against Derby County
Blackburn Rovers

1.17 xG created 1.15 xGA

  • L 2.20 created, 0.78 conceded against Bristol City
  • L 0.65 created, 1.44 conceded against Derby County
  • D 1.20 created, 0.62 conceded against Portsmouth
  • L 0.45 created, 1.16 conceded against Oxford United
  • W 2.18 created, 1.38 conceded against Millwall
  • D 0.32 created, 1.50 conceded against Middlesbrough

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Birmingham City: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.