Preston North End 3:1 Stoke City: xG & match report · Championship

Friday, 20/03/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Preston North End Home 2.81 xG · 13 shots

Stoke City Away 0.99 xG · 13 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

4' Sorba Thomas Stoke City · 0.25 xG chance 0–1
15' Alfie Devine Preston North End · 0.44 xG chance 1–1
57' Milutin Osmajić Preston North End · 0.52 xG chance 2–1
60' Alfie Devine Preston North End · 0.63 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Preston North End Stoke City

Shots: 13; 13
On target: 3; 2
Inside the box: 12; 5
xG per shot: 0.21; 0.08
Open play xG: 1.45; 0.86
Set-piece xG: 1.34; 0.12
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.81 for Preston North End and 0.99 for Stoke City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 3.77 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Preston North End
Stoke City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Preston North End

1.04 xG created 1.82 xGA

L 0.12 created, 1.06 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
D 1.77 created, 1.55 conceded against Swansea City
L 0.43 created, 1.66 conceded against Millwall
L 0.93 created, 1.74 conceded against Oxford United
L 0.44 created, 4.00 conceded against Coventry City
L 2.52 created, 0.88 conceded against Norwich City

Stoke City

1.54 xG created 1.62 xGA

D 1.75 created, 1.44 conceded against Leicester City
W 1.51 created, 1.46 conceded against Oxford United
L 0.21 created, 2.33 conceded against Coventry City
L 0.82 created, 1.15 conceded against Swansea City
D 3.43 created, 1.48 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 1.53 created, 1.83 conceded against Watford

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Preston North End: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Stoke City 0:0 Preston North End 26/12/2025 xG 1.06 – 0.59

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.