xgEdge

Friday, 06/03/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · Championship

Preston North End 1:3 Oxford United

Preston North End Home 0.93 xG · 13 shots
Oxford United Away 1.74 xG · 15 shots
13 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 5' Michał Helik Oxford United · 0.23 xG chance 0–1
  2. 12' Milutin Osmajić Preston North End · 0.40 xG chance 1–1
  3. 55' Will Lankshear Oxford United · 0.26 xG chance 1–2
  4. 61' Ciaron Brown Oxford United · 0.32 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Preston North End Oxford United
Shots
13
15
On target
4
7
Inside the box
9
9
xG per shot
0.07
0.12
Open play xG
0.52
0.26
Set-piece xG
0.42
1.51
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.93 for Preston North End and 1.74 for Oxford United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Preston North End · Milutin Osmajić · 12' · Goal · 7 m · 0.40 xG Oxford United · Ciaron Brown · 10' · No goal · 6 m · 0.32 xG Oxford United · Ciaron Brown · 61' · Goal · 4 m · 0.32 xG Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 55' · Goal · 7 m · 0.26 xG Oxford United · Michał Helik · 5' · Goal · 7 m · 0.23 xG Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 19' · No goal · 9 m · 0.13 xG Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 15' · No goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 42' · No goal · 10 m · 0.10 xG Preston North End · Andrew Hughes · 48' · No goal · 7 m · 0.09 xG Preston North End · Jordan Thompson · 81' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG Oxford United · Jamie Donley · 15' · No goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 17' · No goal · 12 m · 0.07 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 7' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG Preston North End · Milutin Osmajić · 14' · No goal · 10 m · 0.06 xG Preston North End · Ben Whiteman · 41' · No goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG Preston North End · Callum Lang · 23' · No goal · 23 m · 0.06 xG Oxford United · Cameron Brannagan · 66' · No goal · 22 m · 0.04 xG Oxford United · Cameron Brannagan · 84' · No goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 54' · No goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Myles Peart-Harris · 59' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG Preston North End · Andrew Hughes · 66' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 41' · No goal · 12 m · 0.02 xG Preston North End · Jordan Storey · 80' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 13' · No goal · 18 m · 0.02 xG Preston North End · Jordan Thompson · 45' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 73' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Preston North End · Jordan Thompson · 41' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Jamie Donley · 1' · No goal · 33 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

28 shots · 2.70 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Preston North End
  • Oxford United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Preston North End

0.77 xG created 1.44 xGA

  • D 1.06 created, 2.23 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • W 0.58 created, 1.23 conceded against Portsmouth
  • D 0.65 created, 0.91 conceded against Watford
  • L 0.12 created, 1.06 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • D 1.77 created, 1.55 conceded against Swansea City
  • L 0.43 created, 1.66 conceded against Millwall
Oxford United

0.78 xG created 1.68 xGA

  • L 1.06 created, 1.00 conceded against Sheffield United
  • D 0.12 created, 2.09 conceded against Coventry City
  • L 0.44 created, 2.31 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 0.82 created, 2.15 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • L 1.46 created, 1.51 conceded against Stoke City
  • W 0.75 created, 1.04 conceded against West Bromwich Albion

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Preston North End: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.