xgEdge

Wednesday, 25/02/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · Championship

Stoke City 2:1 Oxford United

Stoke City Home 1.51 xG · 21 shots
Oxford United Away 1.46 xG · 9 shots
21 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 36' Lamine Cissé Stoke City · 0.14 xG chance 1–0
  2. 44' Ciaron Brown Oxford United · 0.32 xG chance 1–1
  3. 57' Jesurun Rak-Sakyi Stoke City · 0.26 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Stoke City Oxford United
Shots
21
9
On target
9
2
Inside the box
12
8
xG per shot
0.07
0.17
Open play xG
1.31
0.27
Set-piece xG
0.26
1.23
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.51 for Stoke City and 1.46 for Oxford United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 54' · No goal · 2 m · 0.63 xG Oxford United · Ciaron Brown · 44' · Goal · 8 m · 0.32 xG Stoke City · Jesurun Rak-Sakyi · 12' · No goal · 9 m · 0.30 xG Stoke City · Jesurun Rak-Sakyi · 57' · Goal · 2 m · 0.26 xG Oxford United · Christ Makosso · 65' · No goal · 6 m · 0.14 xG Stoke City · Lamine Cissé · 36' · Goal · 18 m · 0.14 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 20' · No goal · 14 m · 0.13 xG Oxford United · Nik Prelec · 67' · No goal · 9 m · 0.13 xG Stoke City · Steven​ N'Zonzi · 86' · No goal · 5 m · 0.12 xG Oxford United · Christ Makosso · 41' · No goal · 7 m · 0.11 xG Stoke City · Lamine Cissé · 71' · No goal · 4 m · 0.11 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 26' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG Stoke City · Ben Wilmot · 47' · No goal · 19 m · 0.07 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 23' · No goal · 12 m · 0.06 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 90' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 25' · No goal · 17 m · 0.05 xG Stoke City · Eric Bocat · 77' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 90' · No goal · 22 m · 0.04 xG Oxford United · Myles Peart-Harris · 68' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Oxford United · Cameron Brannagan · 17' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 24' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Jesurun Rak-Sakyi · 31' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Steven​ N'Zonzi · 38' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Lamine Cissé · 85' · No goal · 16 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Lamine Cissé · 28' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Lamine Cissé · 71' · No goal · 8 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Eric Bocat · 17' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Maksym Talovierov · 23' · No goal · 30 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Tatsuki Seko · 87' · No goal · 31 m · 0.01 xG Stoke City · Steven​ N'Zonzi · 38' · No goal · 28 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

30 shots · 3.07 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Stoke City
  • Oxford United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Stoke City

0.78 xG created 1.46 xGA

  • L 0.81 created, 1.22 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • D 0.33 created, 1.87 conceded against Birmingham City
  • L 0.89 created, 1.59 conceded against Southampton
  • D 0.38 created, 0.34 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • L 0.50 created, 2.31 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • D 1.75 created, 1.44 conceded against Leicester City
Oxford United

0.81 xG created 1.49 xGA

  • W 1.94 created, 0.59 conceded against Leicester City
  • L 0.46 created, 0.80 conceded against Birmingham City
  • L 1.06 created, 1.00 conceded against Sheffield United
  • D 0.12 created, 2.09 conceded against Coventry City
  • L 0.44 created, 2.31 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 0.82 created, 2.15 conceded against Middlesbrough

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Stoke City: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.