Swansea City 1:1 Preston North End: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 24/02/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Swansea City Home 1.55 xG · 12 shots

Preston North End Away 1.77 xG · 14 shots

11 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

26' Daniel Jebbison Preston North End · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
90' Liam Cullen Swansea City · 0.08 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Swansea City Preston North End

Shots: 12; 14
On target: 2; 3
Inside the box: 11; 10
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.12; 1.34
Set-piece xG: 0.42; 0.44
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.55 for Swansea City and 1.77 for Preston North End.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 3.32 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Swansea City
Preston North End
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Swansea City

1.55 xG created 0.84 xGA

W 1.01 created, 0.98 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
L 2.05 created, 1.62 conceded against Hull City
W 2.78 created, 0.84 conceded against Watford
W 1.87 created, 0.06 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
L 1.00 created, 0.80 conceded against Derby County
W 0.58 created, 0.72 conceded against Bristol City

Preston North End

0.62 xG created 1.66 xGA

L 0.90 created, 1.67 conceded against Hull City
L 0.40 created, 2.83 conceded against Middlesbrough
D 1.06 created, 2.23 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 0.58 created, 1.23 conceded against Portsmouth
D 0.65 created, 0.91 conceded against Watford
L 0.12 created, 1.06 conceded against Blackburn Rovers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Swansea City: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Preston North End 2:1 Swansea City 05/11/2025 xG 0.71 – 0.69

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.