Southampton 3:2 West Bromwich Albion: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 09/12/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Southampton Home 0.97 xG · 8 shots

West Bromwich Albion Away 1.34 xG · 18 shots

32 The result went against the chances

Goals

12' Leo Scienza Southampton · 0.05 xG chance 1–0
17' Adam Armstrong Southampton · 0.56 xG chance 2–0
35' Adam Armstrong Southampton · 0.17 xG chance 3–0
62' Karlan Grant West Bromwich Albion · 0.01 xG chance 3–1
86' Nathaniel Phillips West Bromwich Albion · 0.29 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Southampton West Bromwich Albion

Shots: 8; 18
On target: 4; 7
Inside the box: 5; 16
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.94; 0.57
Set-piece xG: 0.06; 0.78
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.97 for Southampton and 1.34 for West Bromwich Albion.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.35 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Southampton
West Bromwich Albion
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Southampton

2.01 xG created 1.24 xGA

W 0.68 created, 1.68 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
W 1.03 created, 0.81 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
W 4.63 created, 0.67 conceded against Charlton Athletic
W 2.41 created, 0.44 conceded against Leicester City
L 1.20 created, 1.83 conceded against Millwall
W 2.08 created, 2.01 conceded against Birmingham City

West Bromwich Albion

1.42 xG created 1.26 xGA

L 1.29 created, 1.13 conceded against Charlton Athletic
W 1.61 created, 0.95 conceded against Oxford United
L 1.61 created, 2.27 conceded against Coventry City
D 0.77 created, 0.99 conceded against Birmingham City
W 1.73 created, 0.21 conceded against Swansea City
L 1.48 created, 2.00 conceded against Queens Park Rangers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.