West Bromwich Albion 1:1 Birmingham City: xG & match report · Championship

Wednesday, 26/11/2025 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

West Bromwich Albion Home 0.77 xG · 13 shots

Birmingham City Away 0.99 xG · 14 shots

11 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

12' Alex Mowatt West Bromwich Albion · 0.05 xG chance 1–0
78' Marvin Ducksch Birmingham City · 0.02 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

West Bromwich Albion Birmingham City

Shots: 13; 14
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 6; 11
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.66; 0.78
Set-piece xG: 0.11; 0.20
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.99 for Birmingham City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 1.75 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

West Bromwich Albion
Birmingham City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

West Bromwich Albion

1.12 xG created 1.35 xGA

L 0.63 created, 1.22 conceded against Watford
L 0.39 created, 2.22 conceded against Ipswich Town
D 1.16 created, 0.33 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
L 1.29 created, 1.13 conceded against Charlton Athletic
W 1.61 created, 0.95 conceded against Oxford United
L 1.61 created, 2.27 conceded against Coventry City

Birmingham City

1.85 xG created 0.65 xGA

W 0.83 created, 1.38 conceded against Preston North End
L 0.69 created, 0.27 conceded against Bristol City
W 3.11 created, 0.23 conceded against Portsmouth
W 1.74 created, 0.12 conceded against Millwall
L 1.20 created, 0.61 conceded against Middlesbrough
W 3.56 created, 1.28 conceded against Norwich City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.