West Bromwich Albion 3:2 Swansea City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 29/11/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

West Bromwich Albion Home 1.73 xG · 26 shots

Swansea City Away 0.21 xG · 3 shots

32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

1' Žan Vipotnik Swansea City · 0.09 xG chance 0–1
12' Ethan Galbraith Swansea City · 0.02 xG chance 0–2
47' Aune Selland Heggebø West Bromwich Albion · 0.10 xG chance 1–2
52' Aune Selland Heggebø West Bromwich Albion · 0.04 xG chance 2–2
85' Jayson Molumby West Bromwich Albion · 0.22 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

West Bromwich Albion Swansea City

Shots: 26; 3
On target: 10; 2
Inside the box: 15; 2
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.04
Open play xG: 1.08; 0.11
Set-piece xG: 0.65; 0.02
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.13 for Swansea City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 1.86 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

West Bromwich Albion
Swansea City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

West Bromwich Albion

1.14 xG created 1.32 xGA

L 0.39 created, 2.22 conceded against Ipswich Town
D 1.16 created, 0.33 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
L 1.29 created, 1.13 conceded against Charlton Athletic
W 1.61 created, 0.95 conceded against Oxford United
L 1.61 created, 2.27 conceded against Coventry City
D 0.77 created, 0.99 conceded against Birmingham City

Swansea City

0.64 xG created 1.21 xGA

W 0.43 created, 1.17 conceded against Norwich City
D 0.71 created, 0.93 conceded against Charlton Athletic
L 0.69 created, 0.71 conceded against Preston North End
L 0.43 created, 1.37 conceded against Ipswich Town
L 0.94 created, 2.03 conceded against Bristol City
L 0.63 created, 1.05 conceded against Derby County

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.