xgEdge

Saturday, 25/10/2025 at 13:30

Full time
Match report · Championship

Portsmouth 0:1 Stoke City

Portsmouth Home 1.83 xG · 14 shots
Stoke City Away 0.90 xG · 12 shots
01 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 70' Hayden Matthews (o.g.) Stoke City 0–1

The shots behind it

Portsmouth Stoke City
Shots
14
12
On target
3
3
Inside the box
10
9
xG per shot
0.14
0.08
Open play xG
1.04
0.62
Set-piece xG
0.89
0.28
Penalties
—
—

Portsmouth's shots add up to 1.93 xG; the published figure is 1.83.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Portsmouth · Makenzie Kirk · 68' · No goal · 6 m · 0.49 xG Portsmouth · Makenzie Kirk · 49' · No goal · 6 m · 0.37 xG Portsmouth · Makenzie Kirk · 49' · No goal · 5 m · 0.25 xG Stoke City · Ashley Phillips · 4' · No goal · 4 m · 0.22 xG Stoke City · Divin Mubama · 25' · No goal · 15 m · 0.20 xG Portsmouth · Makenzie Kirk · 46' · No goal · 8 m · 0.18 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.14 xG Portsmouth · Colby Bishop · 26' · No goal · 10 m · 0.13 xG Portsmouth · Marlon Pack · 49' · No goal · 7 m · 0.10 xG Portsmouth · Makenzie Kirk · 90' · No goal · 17 m · 0.10 xG Stoke City · Divin Mubama · 45' · No goal · 15 m · 0.09 xG Stoke City · Divin Mubama · 7' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Portsmouth · Yang Min-hyeok · 10' · No goal · 16 m · 0.08 xG Stoke City · Ashley Phillips · 68' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Portsmouth · Colby Bishop · 18' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Portsmouth · Connor Ogilvie · 49' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Portsmouth · Makenzie Kirk · 34' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Stoke City · Jun-Ho Bae · 13' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Portsmouth · Marlon Pack · 32' · No goal · 31 m · 0.04 xG Portsmouth · Marlon Pack · 87' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Tomáš Rigo · 82' · No goal · 28 m · 0.03 xG Portsmouth · Makenzie Kirk · 26' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Aaron Cresswell · 81' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 42' · No goal · 9 m · 0.01 xG Stoke City · Hayden Matthews · 70' · Goal · 7 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

26 shots · 2.83 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Portsmouth
  • Stoke City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Portsmouth

0.97 xG created 1.58 xGA

  • L 1.74 created, 1.07 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • L 0.89 created, 1.53 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • D 1.10 created, 1.94 conceded against Watford
  • W 0.48 created, 1.00 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • D 0.86 created, 1.38 conceded against Leicester City
  • L 0.76 created, 2.58 conceded against Coventry City
Stoke City

1.00 xG created 1.20 xGA

  • L 1.09 created, 1.33 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • D 1.85 created, 1.32 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 1.20 created, 0.61 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • D 0.81 created, 1.88 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • W 0.61 created, 0.59 conceded against Wrexham
  • L 0.44 created, 1.48 conceded against Millwall

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.