Derby County 2:1 Hull City: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 04/11/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Derby County Home 0.84 xG · 9 shots

Hull City Away 1.28 xG · 8 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

27' Carlton Morris Derby County · 0.17 xG chance 1–0
50' Joel Ndala Hull City · 0.96 xG chance 1–1
83' Lars-Jørgen Salvesen Derby County · 0.34 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Derby County Hull City

Shots: 9; 8
On target: 3; 2
Inside the box: 4; 3
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.16
Open play xG: 0.53; 1.20
Set-piece xG: 0.32; 0.06
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.84 for Derby County and 1.28 for Hull City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

17 shots · 2.10 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Derby County
Hull City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Derby County

1.37 xG created 1.25 xGA

D 1.81 created, 0.60 conceded against Charlton Athletic
D 1.36 created, 1.06 conceded against Southampton
L 0.25 created, 2.17 conceded against Oxford United
W 0.95 created, 1.11 conceded against Norwich City
W 1.67 created, 0.38 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
W 2.15 created, 2.16 conceded against Sheffield United

Hull City

1.22 xG created 2.13 xGA

D 1.82 created, 1.43 conceded against Preston North End
W 0.45 created, 2.52 conceded against Sheffield United
W 1.15 created, 2.85 conceded against Birmingham City
W 1.52 created, 1.48 conceded against Leicester City
D 1.11 created, 1.95 conceded against Charlton Athletic
W 1.26 created, 2.52 conceded against Norwich City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.