Watford 2:1 Southampton: xG & match report · Championship

Sunday, 16/08/2026 at 14:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Watford Home 0.81 xG · 16 shots

Southampton Away 1.71 xG · 17 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

12' Iker Bravo Watford · 0.11 xG chance 1–0
29' Amin Nabizada Watford · 0.08 xG chance 2–0
56' Cyle Larin Southampton · 0.26 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Watford Southampton

Shots: 16; 17
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 11; 11
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.65; 1.20
Set-piece xG: 0.17; 0.44
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.82 for Watford and 1.65 for Southampton.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

33 shots · 2.45 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Watford
Southampton
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Watford

1.08 xG created 1.64 xGA

D 1.13 created, 2.11 conceded against Charlton Athletic
L 0.81 created, 1.86 conceded against Oxford United
L 1.29 created, 0.81 conceded against Sheffield United
L 0.67 created, 1.40 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
L 0.85 created, 2.30 conceded against Middlesbrough
L 1.70 created, 1.39 conceded against Coventry City

Southampton

1.82 xG created 1.19 xGA

W 1.73 created, 0.91 conceded against Derby County
W 2.23 created, 0.28 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
W 1.19 created, 1.19 conceded against Swansea City
D 2.33 created, 0.94 conceded against Bristol City
D 1.01 created, 1.92 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 2.41 created, 1.91 conceded against Preston North End

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Watford: 0 won · 1 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.