xgEdge

Friday, 28/08/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · Championship

Wrexham 1:2 Birmingham City

Wrexham Home 1.42 xG · 9 shots
Birmingham City Away 1.62 xG · 10 shots
12 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 13' Phil Neumann Birmingham City · 0.24 xG chance 0–1
  2. 54' Callum Doyle Wrexham · 0.36 xG chance 1–1
  3. 63' Phil Neumann Birmingham City · 0.12 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Wrexham Birmingham City
Shots
9
10
On target
4
4
Inside the box
8
7
xG per shot
0.17
0.19
Open play xG
1.12
1.03
Set-piece xG
0.39
0.83
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.54 for Wrexham and 1.85 for Birmingham City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Wrexham · Sam Smith · 77' · No goal · 2 m · 0.70 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 23' · No goal · 9 m · 0.55 xG Wrexham · Callum Doyle · 54' · Goal · 6 m · 0.36 xG Birmingham City · Phil Neumann · 13' · Goal · 2 m · 0.24 xG Birmingham City · August Priske · 7' · No goal · 3 m · 0.24 xG Birmingham City · Carlos Vicente · 89' · No goal · 7 m · 0.22 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 77' · No goal · 4 m · 0.17 xG Birmingham City · Christoph Klarer · 7' · No goal · 3 m · 0.16 xG Birmingham City · Phil Neumann · 63' · Goal · 7 m · 0.12 xG Birmingham City · August Priske · 75' · No goal · 14 m · 0.12 xG Wrexham · Oliver Rathbone · 19' · No goal · 15 m · 0.10 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 62' · No goal · 21 m · 0.09 xG Birmingham City · August Priske · 57' · No goal · 8 m · 0.07 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 61' · No goal · 6 m · 0.06 xG Birmingham City · Demarai Gray · 12' · No goal · 23 m · 0.06 xG Wrexham · Daniel Imray · 37' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 17' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 37' · No goal · 9 m · 0.02 xG Wrexham · Zak Vyner · 39' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

19 shots · 3.37 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Wrexham
  • Birmingham City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Wrexham

1.47 xG created 1.07 xGA

  • W 1.25 created, 0.35 conceded against Stoke City
  • W 1.28 created, 0.80 conceded against Oxford United
  • L 1.25 created, 1.58 conceded against Coventry City
  • D 1.70 created, 2.12 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • D 1.43 created, 0.90 conceded against Cardiff City
  • D 1.92 created, 0.65 conceded against Watford
Birmingham City

1.43 xG created 1.15 xGA

  • D 0.45 created, 0.93 conceded against Hull City
  • W 1.95 created, 2.37 conceded against Preston North End
  • W 1.76 created, 1.13 conceded against Bristol City
  • D 1.67 created, 0.74 conceded against Portsmouth
  • D 0.77 created, 0.29 conceded against Sheffield United
  • D 1.98 created, 1.43 conceded against Bristol City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.