Wrexham 1:1 Birmingham City: xG & match report · Championship

Friday, 03/10/2025 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Wrexham Home 1.74 xG · 12 shots

Birmingham City Away 1.36 xG · 8 shots

11 Wrexham had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

13' George Dobson Wrexham · 0.50 xG chance 1–0
46' Patrick Roberts Birmingham City · 0.71 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Wrexham Birmingham City

Shots: 12; 8
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 7; 5
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.20
Open play xG: 0.96; 1.36
Set-piece xG: 0.63; 0.27
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.58 for Wrexham and 1.61 for Birmingham City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 3.21 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Wrexham
Birmingham City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Wrexham

1.16 xG created 1.65 xGA

D 1.30 created, 2.67 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
W 0.55 created, 1.76 conceded against Millwall
L 2.02 created, 1.43 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
W 1.30 created, 2.34 conceded against Norwich City
D 0.89 created, 0.64 conceded against Derby County
D 0.91 created, 1.07 conceded against Leicester City

Birmingham City

1.18 xG created 0.90 xGA

W 1.65 created, 0.38 conceded against Oxford United
L 0.83 created, 0.56 conceded against Leicester City
L 0.52 created, 0.49 conceded against Stoke City
W 2.41 created, 1.43 conceded against Swansea City
L 0.19 created, 2.13 conceded against Coventry City
D 1.47 created, 0.42 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.