xgEdge

Wieczysta Kraków's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 8 of 8 matching results

8 played this season

8 available results · Last 10 requested

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 2 draws, 5 losses

5 pts 11–17 goals −6 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
12.52 – 12.80
1.57 – 1.60 per match
xGD
-0.28
-0.04 per match
xG record
3 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 4 against them

Comparable xG: 8 of 8 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

5 pts 10.7 xPts

−5.7 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 8 of 8 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 10 · All competitions · All venues

Wieczysta Kraków's poor return sits behind chances that argue for more. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 8 matches, for −0.28 xG difference overall on 12.52–12.80. Their points total of 5 sits 5.7 below the model's 10.7 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 8 results Wieczysta Kraków are 5.65 points below their xPts.

Points
5
xPts
10.65
Gap
-5.65
Fri 24/07 Sat 01/08 Sat 15/08 Fri 21/08 Sat 29/08 Mon 07/09 Sun 13/09 Fri 18/09 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.61 -2.42 -1.20 -2.51 -3.68 -3.65 -4.47 -5.65 -1.61 -0.81 +1.22 -1.31 -1.17 +0.03 -0.82 -1.18 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Wieczysta Kraków: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Fri 24/07 Radomiak Radom 0 1.61 -1.61 -1.61
Sat 01/08 Lech Poznań 0 0.81 -0.81 -2.42
Sat 15/08 Piast Gliwice 3 1.78 +1.22 -1.20
Fri 21/08 Cracovia 0 1.31 -1.31 -2.51
Sat 29/08 Wisła Kraków 0 1.17 -1.17 -3.68
Mon 07/09 Zagłębie Lubin 1 0.97 +0.03 -3.65
Sun 13/09 Pogoń Szczecin 0 0.82 -0.82 -4.47
Fri 18/09 Widzew Łódź 1 2.18 -1.18 -5.65

Scores and xG

Wieczysta Kraków first

  • Away Ekstraklasa Draw against the chances

    xG 2.27

    xGA 1.14

    xGD +1.13

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Widzew Łódź, Fri 18/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    2.18
    Points minus xPts
    -1.18

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Ekstraklasa Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.20

    xGA 1.95

    xGD -0.75

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Pogoń Szczecin, Sun 13/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.83
    Points minus xPts
    -0.83

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Ekstraklasa Draw against the chances

    xG 1.02

    xGA 1.47

    xGD -0.45

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Zagłębie Lubin, Mon 07/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.97
    Points minus xPts
    +0.03

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Ekstraklasa Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.38

    xGA 1.64

    xGD -0.26

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Wisła Kraków, Sat 29/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.16
    Points minus xPts
    -1.16

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Ekstraklasa Loss with even chances

    xG 1.98

    xGA 2.08

    xGD -0.10

    2:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Cracovia, Fri 21/08

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.31
    Points minus xPts
    -1.31

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Ekstraklasa Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.68

    xGA 1.16

    xGD +0.52

    4:3 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Piast Gliwice, Sat 15/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.78
    Points minus xPts
    +1.22

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Ekstraklasa Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.99

    xGA 1.69

    xGD -0.70

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Lech Poznań, Sat 01/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.81
    Points minus xPts
    -0.81

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Ekstraklasa Loss against the chances

    xG 2.00

    xGA 1.67

    xGD +0.33

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Radomiak Radom, Fri 24/07

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.61
    Points minus xPts
    -1.61

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest underperformance

Wisła Kraków 0:2

· Away xG / xGA 1.38 – 1.64

Goal difference
-2
xGD
-0.26
GD minus xGD
-1.74

Among 8 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

1 non-result notice · View in Season →

How the model works →