xgEdge

Expected goals

Wisła Płock expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Ekstraklasa · after 8 matches · updated 1 Oct

Wisła Płock's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ekstraklasa 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Wisła Płock xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.52 xG per match
#9/18
Attack (xG per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.99
#3 GKS Katowice 1.77
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.71
#5 Górnik Zabrze 1.58
#6 Widzew Łódź 1.57
#7 Wieczysta Kraków 1.57
#8 Cracovia 1.53
#9 Wisła Płock 1.52
#10 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.50
#11 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#12 Raków Częstochowa 1.42
#13 Radomiak Radom 1.41
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 1.40
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.40
#16 Motor Lublin 1.39
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 1.35
#18 Piast Gliwice 1.22
League avg
1.54
Total
12.19 8 matches
Defence
1.63 xGA per match
#12/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Lech Poznań 0.89
#2 Górnik Zabrze 1.05
#3 Wisła Kraków 1.10
#4 Zagłębie Lubin 1.22
#5 Legia Warszawa 1.27
#6 Pogoń Szczecin 1.38
#7 Cracovia 1.43
#8 MKS Korona Kielce 1.48
#9 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.52
#10 Motor Lublin 1.53
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 1.60
#12 Wisła Płock 1.63
#13 Widzew Łódź 1.67
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 1.73
#15 Piast Gliwice 1.87
#16 GKS Katowice 2.00
#17 Radomiak Radom 2.05
#18 Raków Częstochowa 2.36
League avg
1.54
Total
13.04 8 matches
xG difference
-0.11 xGD per match
#12/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Lech Poznań +1.18
#2 Wisła Kraków +0.89
#3 Górnik Zabrze +0.53
#4 Legia Warszawa +0.43
#5 Zagłębie Lubin +0.13
#6 Cracovia +0.10
#7 Pogoń Szczecin +0.10
#8 Jagiellonia Białystok -0.03
#9 Wieczysta Kraków -0.04
#10 MKS Korona Kielce -0.07
#11 Widzew Łódź -0.10
#12 Wisła Płock -0.11
#13 Motor Lublin -0.14
#14 GKS Katowice -0.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław -0.34
#16 Radomiak Radom -0.64
#17 Piast Gliwice -0.65
#18 Raków Częstochowa -0.94
League avg
0.00
Total
-0.85 8 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.30 xPts per match
#10/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.97
#3 Górnik Zabrze 1.79
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.66
#5 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#6 Zagłębie Lubin 1.47
#7 Cracovia 1.42
#8 Wieczysta Kraków 1.33
#9 GKS Katowice 1.30
#10 Wisła Płock 1.30
#11 Widzew Łódź 1.29
#12 MKS Korona Kielce 1.27
#13 Motor Lublin 1.26
#14 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.20
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.99
#17 Piast Gliwice 0.96
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.93
League avg
1.38
Total
10.37 vs 11 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 8 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Wisła Płock's underlying numbers sit close to the Ekstraklasa average. They rank #12 for xG difference at -0.11 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 9 goals are 3.19 below 12.19 xG, while 11 points are 0.63 above 10.37 xPts. After only 8 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
9 12.19 -3.19 scored 3.19 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
12 13.04 -1.04 conceded 1.04 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
11 10.37 +0.63 0.63 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Wisła Płock are 3.19 goals below their xG after 8 matches. The gap was widest at -5.54, against Pogoń Szczecin on Mon 07/09.

Goals
9
xG
12.19
Gap
-3.19
Sun 26/07 Fri 31/07 Fri 07/08 Sun 23/08 Fri 28/08 Mon 07/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +1.14 -0.40 -0.89 -2.62 -4.87 -5.54 -4.02 -3.19 +1.14 -1.54 -0.49 -1.73 -2.25 -0.67 +1.52 +0.83 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Wisła Płock: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 Raków Częstochowa 2 0.86 +1.14 +1.14
Fri 31/07 Widzew Łódź 0 1.54 -1.54 -0.40
Fri 07/08 Wisła Kraków 1 1.49 -0.49 -0.89
Sun 23/08 GKS Katowice 0 1.73 -1.73 -2.62
Fri 28/08 MKS Korona Kielce 0 2.25 -2.25 -4.87
Mon 07/09 Pogoń Szczecin 1 1.67 -0.67 -5.54
Sun 13/09 Cracovia 3 1.48 +1.52 -4.02
Sun 20/09 Zagłębie Lubin 2 1.17 +0.83 -3.19

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Wisła Płock xG trend

Current form +0.20 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 8 matches. The worst was against GKS Katowice on Sun 23/08 (-0.38).

npxG · last 6
1.69
npxGA · last 6
1.49
-1 0 +1 +2 +0.13 Sun 26/07 -0.18 Fri 31/07 -0.27 Fri 07/08 -0.38 Sun 23/08 +1.34 Fri 28/08 -0.01 Mon 07/09 +0.40 Sun 13/09 +0.12 Sun 20/09 +0.14 season avg
Wisła Płock: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 26/07 Raków Częstochowa 0.86 0.73 +0.13 +0.13
Fri 31/07 Widzew Łódź 1.60 1.78 -0.18 -0.02
Fri 07/08 Wisła Kraków 1.51 1.78 -0.27 -0.11
Sun 23/08 GKS Katowice 1.73 2.11 -0.38 -0.18
Fri 28/08 MKS Korona Kielce 2.26 0.92 +1.34 +0.13
Mon 07/09 Pogoń Szczecin 1.90 1.91 -0.01 +0.10
Sun 13/09 Cracovia 1.54 1.14 +0.40 +0.15
Sun 20/09 Zagłębie Lubin 1.18 1.06 +0.12 +0.14

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.57 npxG and 1.43 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 13 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
−0.02 xG vs league average
Over 8 league matches
Last 5
number 13 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
−0.05 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.02 xG vs league average · over 8 matches · number 13 hardest of 18

  1. Zagłębie Lubin Away −0.15
  2. Cracovia Home +0.15
  3. Pogoń Szczecin Away −0.10
  4. MKS Korona Kielce Home −0.13
  5. GKS Katowice Away −0.04
  6. Wisła Kraków Away +0.40
  7. Widzew Łódź Home −0.10
  8. Raków Częstochowa Away −0.23

Last 5

−0.05 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 13 hardest of 18

  1. Zagłębie Lubin Away −0.15
  2. Cracovia Home +0.15
  3. Pogoń Szczecin Away −0.10
  4. MKS Korona Kielce Home −0.13
  5. GKS Katowice Away −0.04

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Wisła Płock shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Wisła Płock take 14.9 shots a match (league 14.9) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #8 in Ekstraklasa for volume and #3 for quality. 65% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 40% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.9 shots per match
#8/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Wisła Kraków 19.1
#2 Lech Poznań 18.9
#3 GKS Katowice 16.8
#4 Legia Warszawa 15.4
#5 Widzew Łódź 15.3
=6 Cracovia 15.1
=6 Raków Częstochowa 15.1
#8 Wisła Płock 14.9
=9 Motor Lublin 14.7
=9 Radomiak Radom 14.7
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 14.5
#12 Piast Gliwice 14.0
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 13.7
#14 Pogoń Szczecin 13.5
#15 Górnik Zabrze 13.4
#16 Jagiellonia Białystok 13.4
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 13.3
#18 Śląsk Wrocław 12.0
League avg
14.9
Total
119 shots from 8 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#3/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Lech Poznań 0.11
#2 Pogoń Szczecin 0.11
#3 Wisła Płock 0.11
#4 Śląsk Wrocław 0.10
#5 Legia Warszawa 0.10
#6 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#7 Zagłębie Lubin 0.10
#8 Górnik Zabrze 0.10
#9 Widzew Łódź 0.10
#10 Cracovia 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Wisła Kraków 0.10
#13 GKS Katowice 0.09
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 0.09
#15 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.09
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.08
#17 Raków Częstochowa 0.08
#18 Piast Gliwice 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
12.58 npxG from 119 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.4 shots per match
#7/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Lech Poznań 11.1
#2 Górnik Zabrze 11.4
#3 Wisła Kraków 12.0
#4 Legia Warszawa 12.7
#5 Motor Lublin 13.9
#6 MKS Korona Kielce 14.0
#7 Wisła Płock 14.4
#8 Widzew Łódź 14.9
#9 Cracovia 15.1
#10 Raków Częstochowa 15.3
#11 Zagłębie Lubin 15.8
=12 Jagiellonia Białystok 16.1
=12 Pogoń Szczecin 16.1
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 16.2
#15 GKS Katowice 16.9
#16 Wieczysta Kraków 17.0
#17 Piast Gliwice 17.2
#18 Radomiak Radom 17.6
League avg
14.9
Total
115 shots allowed from 8 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#10/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Zagłębie Lubin 0.06
#2 Cracovia 0.07
#3 Lech Poznań 0.08
#4 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.08
#5 Górnik Zabrze 0.08
#6 Wisła Kraków 0.09
#7 Pogoń Szczecin 0.09
#8 Legia Warszawa 0.09
#9 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#10 Wisła Płock 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Piast Gliwice 0.10
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 0.10
#14 GKS Katowice 0.11
#15 Radomiak Radom 0.11
#16 Śląsk Wrocław 0.11
#17 Widzew Łódź 0.12
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
11.43 npxGA from 115 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

65% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 77 of 119 shots over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

71% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 82 of 115 shots allowed over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

60% open play · 40% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 5.0 of 12.4 npxG over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

76% open play · 24% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 2.8 of 11.3 npxG allowed over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Wisła Płock home and away xG

Wisła Płock per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 5
xG / match 1.76 1.38
xGA / match 1.28 1.84
xGD / match +0.47 -0.45
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.71 1.05

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Wisła Płock match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
8
xG / match
1.52
xGA / match
1.63
xGD / match
-0.11
Points
11 of 24
  1. Sun 20/09 Zagłębie Lubin A xG 1.17 xGA 1.06 xGD +0.11
  2. Sun 13/09 Cracovia H xG 1.48 xGA 1.14 xGD +0.34
  3. Mon 07/09 Pogoń Szczecin A xG 1.67 xGA 1.99 xGD -0.32
  4. Fri 28/08 MKS Korona Kielce H Against the chances xG 2.25 xGA 0.92 xGD +1.33
  5. Sun 23/08 GKS Katowice A Weakest underlying xG 1.73 xGA 2.90 P xGD -1.17
  6. Fri 07/08 Wisła Kraków A xG 1.49 xGA 1.78 xGD -0.29
  7. Fri 31/07 Widzew Łódź H xG 1.54 xGA 1.79 xGD -0.25
  8. Sun 26/07 Raków Częstochowa A xG 0.86 xGA 1.46 P xGD -0.60

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Wisła Płock in Ekstraklasa

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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