xgEdge

Saturday, 18/10/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · Eredivisie

AFC Ajax 0:2 AZ Alkmaar

AFC Ajax Home 1.26 xG
AZ Alkmaar Away 2.23 xG
02 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

AFC Ajax AZ Alkmaar
Shots
17
13
On target
6
3
Inside the box
11
7
xG per shot
0.07
0.17

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
AFC Ajax

1.96 xG created 1.39 xGA

  • W 2.75 created, 0.18 conceded against Heracles Almelo
  • D 0.91 created, 0.86 conceded against FC Volendam
  • W 2.37 created, 0.62 conceded against PEC Zwolle
  • D 2.18 created, 3.10 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
  • W 1.87 created, 1.57 conceded against NAC Breda
  • D 1.67 created, 1.98 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar

2.17 xG created 1.37 xGA

  • W 2.82 created, 1.96 conceded against NAC Breda
  • W 2.59 created, 1.37 conceded against Heracles Almelo
  • D 1.17 created, 1.95 conceded against Feyenoord
  • D 2.40 created, 0.93 conceded against PEC Zwolle
  • L 0.35 created, 1.30 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
  • W 3.71 created, 0.70 conceded against SC Telstar

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.