AZ Alkmaar 1:1 AFC Ajax: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Sunday, 08/02/2026 at 14:30

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar Home 1.68 xG

AFC Ajax Away 0.97 xG

11 AZ Alkmaar had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

AZ Alkmaar AFC Ajax

Shots: 13; 11
On target: 6; 2
Inside the box: 6; 7
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.09

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

AZ Alkmaar

1.87 xG created 1.19 xGA

L 3.79 created, 1.38 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
W 2.39 created, 0.48 conceded against FC Volendam
L 0.61 created, 1.73 conceded against PEC Zwolle
D 1.85 created, 1.12 conceded against Excelsior
W 1.16 created, 1.09 conceded against SC Telstar
L 1.39 created, 1.36 conceded against NEC Nijmegen

AFC Ajax

2.09 xG created 1.11 xGA

W 1.25 created, 1.89 conceded against Feyenoord
D 2.02 created, 2.05 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
W 1.74 created, 0.77 conceded against SC Telstar
D 3.43 created, 0.86 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
W 3.44 created, 0.31 conceded against FC Volendam
D 0.63 created, 0.80 conceded against Excelsior

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

AZ Alkmaar: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

AFC Ajax 0:2 AZ Alkmaar 18/10/2025 xG 1.26 – 2.23

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.