xgEdge

Expected goals

Sparta Rotterdam expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Eredivisie · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Sparta Rotterdam's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eredivisie 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Sparta Rotterdam xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.64 xG per match
#7/18
Attack (xG per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 PSV Eindhoven 2.87
#2 Feyenoord 2.76
#3 AFC Ajax 2.65
#4 AZ Alkmaar 2.55
#5 FC Twente 2.28
#6 Go Ahead Eagles 1.91
#7 Sparta Rotterdam 1.64
#8 NEC Nijmegen 1.60
#9 FC Groningen 1.54
#10 FC Utrecht 1.41
#11 SC Cambuur 1.35
#12 Excelsior 1.35
#13 Willem II Tilburg 1.29
#14 SC Heerenveen 1.26
#15 SC Telstar 1.09
#16 Fortuna Sittard 0.97
#17 PEC Zwolle 0.94
#18 ADO Den Haag 0.90
League avg
1.69
Total
11.45 7 matches
Defence
2.10 xGA per match
#15/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Twente 0.75
#2 Feyenoord 0.80
#3 AZ Alkmaar 0.95
#4 AFC Ajax 1.25
#5 SC Heerenveen 1.36
#6 PSV Eindhoven 1.37
#7 Excelsior 1.44
#8 Go Ahead Eagles 1.63
#9 ADO Den Haag 1.90
#10 NEC Nijmegen 1.92
#11 FC Groningen 1.93
#12 SC Cambuur 2.04
#13 SC Telstar 2.05
#14 PEC Zwolle 2.06
#15 Sparta Rotterdam 2.10
#16 FC Utrecht 2.11
#17 Willem II Tilburg 2.28
#18 Fortuna Sittard 2.42
League avg
1.69
Total
14.68 7 matches
xG difference
-0.46 xGD per match
#11/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Feyenoord +1.96
#2 AZ Alkmaar +1.60
#3 FC Twente +1.53
#4 PSV Eindhoven +1.51
#5 AFC Ajax +1.40
#6 Go Ahead Eagles +0.28
#7 Excelsior -0.09
#8 SC Heerenveen -0.10
#9 NEC Nijmegen -0.32
#10 FC Groningen -0.39
#11 Sparta Rotterdam -0.46
#12 SC Cambuur -0.68
#13 FC Utrecht -0.70
#14 SC Telstar -0.96
#15 Willem II Tilburg -0.99
#16 ADO Den Haag -1.00
#17 PEC Zwolle -1.12
#18 Fortuna Sittard -1.46
League avg
0.00
Total
-3.23 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.15 xPts per match
#11/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Feyenoord 2.49
#2 FC Twente 2.43
#3 AZ Alkmaar 2.30
#4 AFC Ajax 2.20
#5 PSV Eindhoven 2.18
#6 Go Ahead Eagles 1.59
#7 Excelsior 1.31
#8 FC Groningen 1.28
#9 SC Heerenveen 1.28
#10 NEC Nijmegen 1.18
#11 Sparta Rotterdam 1.15
#12 FC Utrecht 1.14
#13 SC Cambuur 0.91
#14 ADO Den Haag 0.85
#15 SC Telstar 0.79
#16 Willem II Tilburg 0.79
#17 PEC Zwolle 0.73
#18 Fortuna Sittard 0.72
League avg
1.41
Total
8.07 vs 5 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Sparta Rotterdam's underlying numbers sit close to the Eredivisie average. They rank #11 for xG difference at -0.46 per match, built on high chance quality rather than low shot volume. Their 10 goals are 1.45 below 11.45 xG, while 5 points are 3.07 below 8.07 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
10 11.45 -1.45 scored 1.45 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
17 14.68 +2.32 conceded 2.32 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
5 8.07 -3.07 3.07 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Sparta Rotterdam are 1.45 goals below their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
10
xG
11.45
Gap
-1.45
Sun 09/08 Fri 14/08 Sat 22/08 Sat 29/08 Fri 04/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.01 -0.56 +0.71 +0.74 +0.51 -0.78 -1.45 -1.01 +0.45 +1.27 +0.03 -0.23 -1.29 -0.67 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Sparta Rotterdam: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 Feyenoord 0 1.01 -1.01 -1.01
Fri 14/08 SC Telstar 3 2.55 +0.45 -0.56
Sat 22/08 FC Utrecht 3 1.73 +1.27 +0.71
Sat 29/08 Excelsior 1 0.97 +0.03 +0.74
Fri 04/09 PEC Zwolle 2 2.23 -0.23 +0.51
Sun 13/09 PSV Eindhoven 1 2.29 -1.29 -0.78
Sat 19/09 SC Heerenveen 0 0.67 -0.67 -1.45

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Sparta Rotterdam xG trend

Current form -0.13 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 7 matches. The worst was against Feyenoord on Sun 09/08 (-2.52).

npxG · last 6
1.74
npxGA · last 6
1.87
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -2.52 Sun 09/08 +1.15 Fri 14/08 -0.19 Sat 22/08 -0.21 Sat 29/08 +1.16 Fri 04/09 -1.58 Sun 13/09 -1.13 Sat 19/09 -0.47 season avg
Sparta Rotterdam: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 Feyenoord 1.01 3.53 -2.52 -2.52
Fri 14/08 SC Telstar 2.55 1.40 +1.15 -0.69
Sat 22/08 FC Utrecht 1.73 1.92 -0.19 -0.52
Sat 29/08 Excelsior 0.97 1.18 -0.21 -0.44
Fri 04/09 PEC Zwolle 2.23 1.07 +1.16 -0.12
Sun 13/09 PSV Eindhoven 2.29 3.87 -1.58 -0.37
Sat 19/09 SC Heerenveen 0.67 1.80 -1.13 -0.47

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.64 npxG and 2.11 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 8 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 11 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie
−0.01 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 8 hardest of 18

  1. SC Heerenveen Home −0.17
  2. PSV Eindhoven Away +0.84
  3. PEC Zwolle Home −0.54
  4. Excelsior Away −0.16
  5. FC Utrecht Home −0.04
  6. SC Telstar Away −0.51
  7. Feyenoord Home +0.87

Last 5

−0.01 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 11 hardest of 18

  1. SC Heerenveen Home −0.17
  2. PSV Eindhoven Away +0.84
  3. PEC Zwolle Home −0.54
  4. Excelsior Away −0.16
  5. FC Utrecht Home −0.04

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Sparta Rotterdam shots and chance quality

Low volume, high quality. Sparta Rotterdam take 13.1 shots a match (league 15.0) at 0.12 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #10 in Eredivisie for volume and #4 for quality. 71% of their shots come from inside the box (league 66%), and set pieces produce 21% of their npxG (league 18%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.1 shots per match
#10/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 AFC Ajax 24.7
#2 Feyenoord 22.3
#3 FC Twente 21.6
#4 PSV Eindhoven 21.0
#5 AZ Alkmaar 19.4
#6 SC Heerenveen 16.0
=7 Go Ahead Eagles 15.1
=7 NEC Nijmegen 15.1
#9 FC Groningen 15.0
#10 Sparta Rotterdam 13.1
=11 ADO Den Haag 11.9
=11 SC Cambuur 11.9
=11 Willem II Tilburg 11.9
#14 Excelsior 11.3
#15 FC Utrecht 10.9
#16 PEC Zwolle 10.6
#17 Fortuna Sittard 10.1
#18 SC Telstar 7.9
League avg
15.0
Total
92 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.12 npxG per shot
#4/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 AZ Alkmaar 0.13
#2 Go Ahead Eagles 0.13
#3 PSV Eindhoven 0.13
#4 Sparta Rotterdam 0.12
#5 Excelsior 0.12
#6 FC Utrecht 0.12
#7 Feyenoord 0.12
#8 SC Cambuur 0.11
#9 Willem II Tilburg 0.11
#10 AFC Ajax 0.11
#11 SC Telstar 0.10
#12 NEC Nijmegen 0.10
#13 FC Groningen 0.10
#14 FC Twente 0.09
#15 Fortuna Sittard 0.09
#16 PEC Zwolle 0.09
#17 SC Heerenveen 0.08
#18 ADO Den Haag 0.08
League avg
0.11
Total
11.45 npxG from 92 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
18.0 shots per match
#14/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 AZ Alkmaar 8.1
=2 AFC Ajax 9.6
=2 Feyenoord 9.6
#4 FC Twente 10.0
#5 PSV Eindhoven 10.1
#6 NEC Nijmegen 11.6
#7 FC Groningen 15.1
=8 SC Cambuur 15.9
=8 SC Heerenveen 15.9
=10 ADO Den Haag 16.1
=10 Excelsior 16.1
#12 Go Ahead Eagles 16.6
#13 SC Telstar 17.9
#14 Sparta Rotterdam 18.0
#15 FC Utrecht 18.6
#16 Willem II Tilburg 19.9
#17 Fortuna Sittard 20.3
#18 PEC Zwolle 20.4
League avg
15.0
Total
126 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#13/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Twente 0.06
#2 Feyenoord 0.08
#3 Excelsior 0.09
#4 SC Heerenveen 0.09
#5 Go Ahead Eagles 0.09
#6 PEC Zwolle 0.10
#7 FC Utrecht 0.10
#8 SC Telstar 0.11
#9 ADO Den Haag 0.11
#10 SC Cambuur 0.11
#11 Willem II Tilburg 0.11
#12 Fortuna Sittard 0.12
#13 Sparta Rotterdam 0.12
#14 AZ Alkmaar 0.12
#15 FC Groningen 0.12
#16 AFC Ajax 0.13
#17 PSV Eindhoven 0.13
#18 NEC Nijmegen 0.17
League avg
0.11
Total
14.77 npxGA from 126 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

71% inside the box

League avg 66%

From 65 of 92 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

67% allowed inside the box

League avg 66%

From 84 of 126 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

79% open play · 21% set pieces

League avg 18% set pieces

From 2.4 of 11.6 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

80% open play · 20% set pieces

League avg 18% set pieces

From 3.0 of 15.0 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Sparta Rotterdam home and away xG

Sparta Rotterdam per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 1.41 1.94
xGA / match 2.08 2.12
xGD / match -0.67 -0.18
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.03 1.31

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Sparta Rotterdam match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.64
xGA / match
2.10
xGD / match
-0.46
Points
5 of 21
  1. Sat 19/09 SC Heerenveen H xG 0.67 xGA 1.80 xGD -1.13
  2. Sun 13/09 PSV Eindhoven A xG 2.29 xGA 3.75 xGD -1.46
  3. Fri 04/09 PEC Zwolle H Best underlying xG 2.23 xGA 1.07 xGD +1.16
  4. Sat 29/08 Excelsior A xG 0.97 xGA 1.21 xGD -0.24
  5. Sat 22/08 FC Utrecht H xG 1.73 xGA 1.92 xGD -0.19
  6. Fri 14/08 SC Telstar A xG 2.55 xGA 1.40 xGD +1.15
  7. Sun 09/08 Feyenoord H Weakest underlying xG 1.01 xGA 3.53 xGD -2.52

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.75. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Sparta Rotterdam in Eredivisie

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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