xgEdge

Expected goals

RSC Anderlecht expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Jupiler Pro League · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

RSC Anderlecht's attacking and defensive expected goals in Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

RSC Anderlecht xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.62 xG per match
#8/18
Attack (xG per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 2.16
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.09
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.91
#4 Sint-Truidense VV 1.91
#5 Standard Liège 1.79
#6 KRC Genk 1.78
#7 Cercle Brugge 1.69
#8 RSC Anderlecht 1.62
#9 KVC Westerlo 1.45
#10 Royal Antwerp FC 1.34
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.29
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 1.26
#13 KV Mechelen 1.22
#14 KAA Gent 1.16
#15 SK Beveren 1.11
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.01
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.99
#18 Lommel SK 0.94
League avg
1.48
Total
11.36 7 matches
Defence
0.87 xGA per match
#2/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 KAA Gent 0.66
#2 RSC Anderlecht 0.87
#3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.02
#4 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.06
#5 KRC Genk 1.08
#6 Club Brugge KV 1.20
#7 SV Zulte Waregem 1.31
#8 KV Mechelen 1.46
#9 Lommel SK 1.50
#10 Standard Liège 1.53
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.65
#12 Cercle Brugge 1.75
#13 KVC Westerlo 1.81
#14 Sint-Truidense VV 1.84
#15 SK Beveren 1.86
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.88
#17 KV Kortrijk 1.92
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 2.30
League avg
1.48
Total
6.06 7 matches
xG difference
+0.76 xGD per match
#4/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise +1.06
#2 Club Brugge KV +0.96
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi +0.86
#4 RSC Anderlecht +0.76
#5 KRC Genk +0.70
#6 KAA Gent +0.50
#7 Standard Liège +0.25
#8 Sint-Truidense VV +0.07
#9 SV Zulte Waregem -0.05
#10 Cercle Brugge -0.07
#11 KV Mechelen -0.24
#12 RAAL La Louvière -0.36
#13 KVC Westerlo -0.37
#14 Lommel SK -0.56
#15 SK Beveren -0.75
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven -0.87
#17 KV Kortrijk -0.93
#18 Royal Antwerp FC -0.97
League avg
0.00
Total
+5.30 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.88 xPts per match
#4/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 RC Sporting Charleroi 2.02
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.98
#3 Club Brugge KV 1.90
#4 RSC Anderlecht 1.88
#5 KAA Gent 1.81
#6 KRC Genk 1.64
#7 Standard Liège 1.48
#8 Sint-Truidense VV 1.44
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 1.34
#10 Cercle Brugge 1.25
#11 KVC Westerlo 1.24
#12 KV Mechelen 1.19
#13 RAAL La Louvière 1.08
#14 Royal Antwerp FC 1.00
#15 Lommel SK 1.00
#16 SK Beveren 0.95
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.87
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
13.17 vs 13 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

RSC Anderlecht's underlying numbers are among the best in Jupiler Pro League. They rank #4 for xG difference at +0.76 per match, driven by high shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 7 goals are 4.36 below 11.36 xG, while 13 points are 0.17 below 13.17 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
7 11.36 -4.36 scored 4.36 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
5 6.06 -1.06 conceded 1.06 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
13 13.17 -0.17 0.17 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

RSC Anderlecht are 4.36 goals below their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at -4.86, against KRC Genk on Sun 06/09.

Goals
7
xG
11.36
Gap
-4.36
Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Thu 03/09 Sun 06/09 Fri 11/09 Sat 19/09 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.05 -2.32 -3.66 -4.16 -4.86 -4.77 -4.36 -1.05 -1.27 -1.34 -0.50 -0.70 +0.09 +0.41 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
RSC Anderlecht: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 RAAL La Louvière 2 3.05 -1.05 -1.05
Sun 16/08 SK Beveren 0 1.27 -1.27 -2.32
Sun 30/08 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0 1.34 -1.34 -3.66
Thu 03/09 KV Kortrijk 1 1.50 -0.50 -4.16
Sun 06/09 KRC Genk 0 0.70 -0.70 -4.86
Fri 11/09 KV Mechelen 1 0.91 +0.09 -4.77
Sat 19/09 SV Zulte Waregem 3 2.59 +0.41 -4.36

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

RSC Anderlecht xG trend

Current form +0.50 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 5 of 7 matches. The worst was against KV Mechelen on Fri 11/09 (-0.32).

npxG · last 6
1.39
npxGA · last 6
0.89
-1 0 +1 +2 +3 +2.33 Sun 09/08 +0.47 Sun 16/08 -0.26 Sun 30/08 +1.04 Thu 03/09 +0.30 Sun 06/09 -0.32 Fri 11/09 +1.79 Sat 19/09 +0.76 season avg
RSC Anderlecht: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 RAAL La Louvière 3.07 0.74 +2.33 +2.33
Sun 16/08 SK Beveren 1.11 0.64 +0.47 +1.40
Sun 30/08 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.34 1.60 -0.26 +0.85
Thu 03/09 KV Kortrijk 1.50 0.46 +1.04 +0.89
Sun 06/09 KRC Genk 0.70 0.40 +0.30 +0.78
Fri 11/09 KV Mechelen 0.91 1.23 -0.32 +0.59
Sat 19/09 SV Zulte Waregem 2.78 0.99 +1.79 +0.76

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.63 npxG and 0.87 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 12 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
−0.03 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 4 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
+0.09 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.03 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 12 hardest of 18

  1. SV Zulte Waregem Home +0.11
  2. KV Mechelen Away −0.34
  3. KRC Genk Home +0.33
  4. KV Kortrijk Home −0.30
  5. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Away +0.65
  6. SK Beveren Away −0.38
  7. RAAL La Louvière Home −0.30

Last 5

+0.09 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 4 hardest of 18

  1. SV Zulte Waregem Home +0.11
  2. KV Mechelen Away −0.34
  3. KRC Genk Home +0.33
  4. KV Kortrijk Home −0.30
  5. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Away +0.65

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

RSC Anderlecht shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. RSC Anderlecht take 16.6 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #5 in Jupiler Pro League for volume and #8 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 22% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
16.6 shots per match
#5/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 18.7
#2 RC Sporting Charleroi 18.0
=3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 17.3
=3 Sint-Truidense VV 17.3
#5 RSC Anderlecht 16.6
#6 KVC Westerlo 15.3
#7 Royal Antwerp FC 15.1
#8 Cercle Brugge 14.7
#9 KRC Genk 14.1
#10 Standard Liège 14.0
#11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.1
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 12.9
#13 KAA Gent 12.4
#14 KV Mechelen 11.9
#15 KV Kortrijk 11.7
#16 RAAL La Louvière 10.9
#17 SK Beveren 10.7
#18 Lommel SK 10.0
League avg
14.2
Total
116 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#8/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.12
#2 Standard Liège 0.11
#3 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#4 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#5 KRC Genk 0.11
#6 Club Brugge KV 0.10
#7 Cercle Brugge 0.10
#8 RSC Anderlecht 0.10
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#10 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.10
#11 SK Beveren 0.09
#12 KVC Westerlo 0.09
#13 KV Kortrijk 0.09
#14 KAA Gent 0.09
#15 KV Mechelen 0.09
#16 Royal Antwerp FC 0.08
#17 Lommel SK 0.08
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
11.41 npxG from 116 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
9.9 shots per match
#1/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 RSC Anderlecht 9.9
#2 KAA Gent 10.3
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 11.0
#4 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 11.3
#5 SV Zulte Waregem 12.1
#6 Club Brugge KV 13.1
#7 Cercle Brugge 13.6
#8 KV Mechelen 14.3
#9 KRC Genk 14.7
=10 KV Kortrijk 14.9
=10 Sint-Truidense VV 14.9
=12 KVC Westerlo 15.0
=12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15.0
#14 Standard Liège 15.3
#15 SK Beveren 15.6
#16 RAAL La Louvière 15.7
#17 Royal Antwerp FC 17.1
#18 Lommel SK 21.0
League avg
14.2
Total
69 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#5/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KRC Genk 0.07
#2 KAA Gent 0.07
#3 Lommel SK 0.07
#4 Standard Liège 0.08
#5 RSC Anderlecht 0.09
#6 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.09
#7 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.09
#8 Club Brugge KV 0.09
#9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.10
#10 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#11 KV Mechelen 0.11
#12 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#13 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#14 SK Beveren 0.11
#15 Cercle Brugge 0.11
#16 KV Kortrijk 0.11
#17 KVC Westerlo 0.11
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
6.06 npxGA from 69 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 76 of 116 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

74% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 51 of 69 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

78% open play · 22% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.5 of 11.3 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

59% open play · 41% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.5 of 6.0 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

RSC Anderlecht home and away xG

RSC Anderlecht per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 1.96 1.17
xGA / match 0.65 1.16
xGD / match +1.31 +0.02
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.26 1.38

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every RSC Anderlecht match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.62
xGA / match
0.87
xGD / match
+0.76
Points
13 of 21
  1. Sat 19/09 SV Zulte Waregem H xG 2.59 xGA 0.99 xGD +1.60
  2. Fri 11/09 KV Mechelen A Weakest underlying xG 0.91 xGA 1.23 xGD -0.32
  3. Sun 06/09 KRC Genk H xG 0.70 xGA 0.40 xGD +0.30
  4. Thu 03/09 KV Kortrijk H xG 1.50 xGA 0.46 xGD +1.04
  5. Sun 30/08 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A xG 1.34 xGA 1.60 xGD -0.26
  6. Sun 16/08 SK Beveren A xG 1.27 xGA 0.64 xGD +0.63
  7. Sun 09/08 RAAL La Louvière H Best underlying xG 3.05 xGA 0.74 xGD +2.31

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.05. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

RSC Anderlecht in Jupiler Pro League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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