xgEdge

Standard Liège's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 3 of 3 matching results

7 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses

7 pts 5–2 goals +3 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
7.17 – 3.37
2.39 – 1.12 per match
xGD
+3.80
+1.27 per match
xG record
2 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 0 against them

Small sample: 3 matches.

Comparable xG: 3 of 3 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

7 pts 6.3 xPts

+0.7 vs xPts

Small sample: 3 matches.

Matched xPts: 3 of 3 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Home

Standard Liège's winning record is broadly supported by the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 3 matches, for +3.80 xG difference overall on 7.17–3.37. Their points total of 7 sits 0.7 above the model's 6.3 xPts, so the results have slightly outrun the chances.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 3 results Standard Liège are 0.71 points above their xPts.

Points
7
xPts
6.29
Gap
+0.71
Sat 08/08 Fri 21/08 Sat 05/09 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.13 +0.47 +0.71 -1.13 +1.60 +0.24 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Standard Liège: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 08/08 Cercle Brugge 1 2.13 -1.13 -1.13
Fri 21/08 RAAL La Louvière 3 1.40 +1.60 +0.47
Sat 05/09 Royal Antwerp FC 3 2.76 +0.24 +0.71

Scores and xG

Standard Liège first

  • Home Jupiler Pro League Win backed by the chances

    xG 3.42

    xGA 0.83

    xGD +2.59

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Royal Antwerp FC, Sat 05/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.76
    Points minus xPts
    +0.24

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Win with even chances

    xG 1.15

    xGA 1.07

    xGD +0.08

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RAAL La Louvière, Fri 21/08

    The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.40
    Points minus xPts
    +1.60

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Draw against the chances

    xG 2.60

    xGA 1.47

    xGD +1.13

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Cercle Brugge, Sat 08/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    2.13
    Points minus xPts
    -1.13

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →