Brentford 1:1 Leeds United: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 14/12/2025 at 17:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Brentford Home 0.72 xG · 7 shots

Leeds United Away 1.52 xG · 18 shots

11 Leeds United had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

70' Jordan Henderson Brentford · 0.21 xG chance 1–0
82' Dominic Calvert-Lewin Leeds United · 0.40 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Brentford Leeds United

Shots: 7; 18
On target: 2; 4
Inside the box: 4; 11
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.48; 1.29
Set-piece xG: 0.13; 0.26
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.62 for Brentford and 1.52 for Leeds United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 2.16 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Brentford
Leeds United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Brentford

1.42 xG created 1.21 xGA

L 0.54 created, 0.70 conceded against Crystal Palace
W 2.35 created, 0.44 conceded against Newcastle United
L 1.91 created, 1.22 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 3.06 created, 0.95 conceded against Burnley
L 0.35 created, 1.77 conceded against Arsenal
L 0.29 created, 2.18 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur

Leeds United

1.47 xG created 2.22 xGA

L 0.50 created, 3.07 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
L 0.69 created, 2.55 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 1.79 created, 1.58 conceded against Aston Villa
L 1.54 created, 3.10 conceded against Manchester City
W 2.82 created, 1.11 conceded against Chelsea
D 1.51 created, 1.91 conceded against Liverpool

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.