Crystal Palace 1:2 Arsenal: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 24/05/2026 at 17:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Crystal Palace Home 0.98 xG · 8 shots

Arsenal Away 2.53 xG · 17 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

42' Gabriel Jesus Arsenal · 0.05 xG chance 0–1
48' Noni Madueke Arsenal · 0.04 xG chance 0–2
89' Jean-Philippe Mateta Crystal Palace · 0.48 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Crystal Palace Arsenal

Shots: 8; 17
On target: 3; 7
Inside the box: 8; 14
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.15
Open play xG: 1.02; 2.44
Set-piece xG: 0.07; 0.11
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.10 for Crystal Palace and 2.56 for Arsenal.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 3.64 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Crystal Palace
Arsenal
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Crystal Palace

1.48 xG created 1.47 xGA

D 0.73 created, 0.61 conceded against West Ham United
L 2.26 created, 1.15 conceded against Liverpool
L 0.89 created, 2.08 conceded against Bournemouth
D 2.56 created, 1.59 conceded against Everton
L 0.73 created, 1.66 conceded against Manchester City
D 1.72 created, 1.71 conceded against Brentford

Arsenal

1.69 xG created 0.88 xGA

L 2.32 created, 1.19 conceded against Bournemouth
L 1.62 created, 1.36 conceded against Manchester City
W 0.49 created, 1.00 conceded against Newcastle United
W 3.23 created, 0.37 conceded against Fulham
W 1.18 created, 1.15 conceded against West Ham United
W 1.29 created, 0.19 conceded against Burnley

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Crystal Palace: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Arsenal 1:0 Crystal Palace 26/10/2025 xG 0.92 – 0.45

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.