Wolverhampton 0:1 Nottingham Forest: xG & match report · Premier League

Wednesday, 03/12/2025 at 20:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Wolverhampton Home 0.91 xG · 5 shots

Nottingham Forest Away 0.74 xG · 10 shots

01 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

72' Igor Jesus Nottingham Forest · 0.11 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Wolverhampton Nottingham Forest

Shots: 5; 10
On target: 1; 3
Inside the box: 4; 7
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.88; 0.34
Set-piece xG: 0.05; 0.41
Penalties: —; —

Wolverhampton's shots add up to 0.93 xG and Nottingham Forest's to 0.75; the published figures are 0.91 and 0.74.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

15 shots · 1.68 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Wolverhampton
Nottingham Forest
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Wolverhampton

0.97 xG created 1.50 xGA

L 0.83 created, 0.65 conceded against Sunderland
L 2.28 created, 1.43 conceded against Burnley
L 0.24 created, 1.39 conceded against Fulham
L 0.17 created, 3.31 conceded against Chelsea
L 1.79 created, 1.27 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 0.49 created, 0.94 conceded against Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest

1.62 xG created 1.34 xGA

L 2.35 created, 1.67 conceded against Chelsea
L 0.37 created, 0.58 conceded against Bournemouth
D 2.00 created, 1.15 conceded against Manchester United
W 2.55 created, 0.69 conceded against Leeds United
W 1.58 created, 1.93 conceded against Liverpool
L 0.89 created, 2.00 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.