Nottingham Forest 0:2 Brighton & Hove Albion: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 30/11/2025 at 15:05

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Nottingham Forest Home 0.89 xG · 19 shots

Brighton & Hove Albion Away 2.00 xG · 17 shots

02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

45' Maxim De Cuyper Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.58 xG chance 0–1
88' Stefanos Tzimas Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.09 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Nottingham Forest Brighton & Hove Albion

Shots: 19; 17
On target: 3; 6
Inside the box: 13; 11
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.12
Open play xG: 0.54; 1.36
Set-piece xG: 0.35; 0.69
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.01 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

36 shots · 2.94 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Nottingham Forest
Brighton & Hove Albion
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Nottingham Forest

1.52 xG created 1.55 xGA

L 0.29 created, 3.28 conceded against Newcastle United
L 2.35 created, 1.67 conceded against Chelsea
L 0.37 created, 0.58 conceded against Bournemouth
D 2.00 created, 1.15 conceded against Manchester United
W 2.55 created, 0.69 conceded against Leeds United
W 1.58 created, 1.93 conceded against Liverpool

Brighton & Hove Albion

1.27 xG created 1.08 xGA

D 0.92 created, 0.56 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 0.91 created, 1.45 conceded against Newcastle United
L 1.12 created, 1.29 conceded against Manchester United
W 3.07 created, 0.50 conceded against Leeds United
D 0.39 created, 0.75 conceded against Crystal Palace
W 1.22 created, 1.91 conceded against Brentford

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.