xgEdge

Monday, 22/12/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · Premier League

Fulham 1:0 Nottingham Forest

Fulham Home 1.50 xG · 11 shots
Nottingham Forest Away 0.60 xG · 12 shots
10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 45' Raúl Jiménez (pen.) Fulham · 0.82 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Fulham Nottingham Forest
Shots
11
12
On target
1
2
Inside the box
8
6
xG per shot
0.14
0.05
Open play xG
0.65
0.60
Set-piece xG
0.06
0.01
Penalties
1
0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.71 for Fulham and 0.60 for Nottingham Forest.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Fulham · Raúl Jiménez · 45' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Fulham · Raúl Jiménez · 84' · No goal · 6 m · 0.32 xG Nottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 8' · No goal · 9 m · 0.22 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 50' · No goal · 10 m · 0.12 xG Fulham · Raúl Jiménez · 42' · No goal · 6 m · 0.11 xG Nottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 47' · No goal · 7 m · 0.06 xG Fulham · Saša Lukić · 39' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Nottingham Forest · Neco Williams · 49' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Nottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 3' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Fulham · Kevin · 16' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Fulham · Raúl Jiménez · 23' · No goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Fulham · Kevin · 37' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Fulham · Raúl Jiménez · 38' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Nottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 10' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Fulham · Tom Cairney · 72' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Fulham · Kevin · 17' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Nottingham Forest · Douglas Luiz · 33' · No goal · 31 m · 0.02 xG Fulham · Harry Wilson · 38' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Nottingham Forest · Omari Hutchinson · 40' · No goal · 12 m · 0.02 xG Nottingham Forest · Murillo · 62' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Nottingham Forest · Elliot Anderson · 18' · No goal · 12 m · 0.01 xG Nottingham Forest · Callum Hudson Odoi · 53' · No goal · 21 m · 0.01 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 62' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

23 shots · 2.14 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Fulham
  • Nottingham Forest
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Fulham

1.15 xG created 1.46 xGA

  • L 0.40 created, 1.44 conceded against Everton
  • W 2.16 created, 0.17 conceded against Sunderland
  • W 0.42 created, 0.86 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • L 0.91 created, 2.17 conceded against Manchester City
  • L 0.76 created, 1.65 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • W 2.23 created, 2.46 conceded against Burnley
Nottingham Forest

1.37 xG created 1.17 xGA

  • W 2.55 created, 0.69 conceded against Leeds United
  • W 1.58 created, 1.93 conceded against Liverpool
  • L 0.89 created, 2.00 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • W 0.74 created, 0.91 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • L 0.53 created, 1.12 conceded against Everton
  • W 1.91 created, 0.37 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.