Leeds United 0:4 Arsenal: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 31/01/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Leeds United Home 0.15 xG · 3 shots

Arsenal Away 2.39 xG · 15 shots

04 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

27' Martín Zubimendi Arsenal · 0.19 xG chance 0–1
38' Karl Darlow (o.g.) Arsenal · 0.17 xG chance 0–2
69' Viktor Gyökeres Arsenal · 0.42 xG chance 0–3
86' Gabriel Jesus Arsenal · 0.08 xG chance 0–4

The shots behind it

Leeds United Arsenal

Shots: 3; 15
On target: 1; 9
Inside the box: 2; 12
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.17
Open play xG: 0.05; 1.39
Set-piece xG: 0.11; 1.17
Penalties: —; —

Leeds United's shots add up to 0.16 xG and Arsenal's to 2.56; the published figures are 0.15 and 2.39.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 2.72 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Leeds United
Arsenal
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Leeds United

1.41 xG created 1.35 xGA

D 2.17 created, 0.70 conceded against Sunderland
D 0.69 created, 2.08 conceded against Liverpool
D 0.90 created, 1.58 conceded against Manchester United
L 2.05 created, 2.72 conceded against Newcastle United
W 1.43 created, 0.39 conceded against Fulham
D 1.23 created, 0.60 conceded against Everton

Arsenal

1.85 xG created 1.06 xGA

W 3.08 created, 0.85 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 3.04 created, 2.67 conceded against Aston Villa
W 1.13 created, 1.43 conceded against Bournemouth
D 0.57 created, 0.31 conceded against Liverpool
D 2.10 created, 0.34 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 1.20 created, 0.73 conceded against Manchester United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Leeds United: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Arsenal 5:0 Leeds United 23/08/2025 xG 2.88 – 0.17

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.