Newcastle United 2:0 Crystal Palace: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 04/01/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Newcastle United Home 2.08 xG · 12 shots

Crystal Palace Away 0.70 xG · 11 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

71' Bruno Guimarães Newcastle United · 0.27 xG chance 1–0
78' Malick Thiaw Newcastle United · 0.44 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Newcastle United Crystal Palace

Shots: 12; 11
On target: 7; 1
Inside the box: 11; 9
xG per shot: 0.18; 0.07
Open play xG: 1.24; 0.54
Set-piece xG: 0.98; 0.21
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.25 for Newcastle United and 0.73 for Crystal Palace.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 2.97 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Newcastle United
Crystal Palace
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Newcastle United

1.64 xG created 1.02 xGA

D 2.04 created, 0.75 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 1.77 created, 1.61 conceded against Burnley
L 0.24 created, 0.30 conceded against Sunderland
D 2.31 created, 1.22 conceded against Chelsea
L 1.18 created, 1.17 conceded against Manchester United
W 2.31 created, 1.09 conceded against Burnley

Crystal Palace

1.51 xG created 1.37 xGA

W 0.59 created, 0.95 conceded against Burnley
W 1.65 created, 0.76 conceded against Fulham
L 1.88 created, 1.19 conceded against Manchester City
L 1.56 created, 2.67 conceded against Leeds United
L 1.47 created, 0.88 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
D 1.93 created, 1.76 conceded against Fulham

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.