xgEdge

Expected goals

Rangers expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Scottish Premiership · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Rangers's attacking and defensive expected goals in Scottish Premiership 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Rangers xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.03 xG per match
#2/12
Attack (xG per match) across Scottish Premiership, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Celtic 2.77
#2 Rangers 2.03
#3 Hibernian 1.75
#4 Heart of Midlothian 1.62
#5 Dundee United 1.56
#6 St. Mirren 1.44
#7 Motherwell 1.36
#8 St. Johnstone 1.30
#9 Dundee FC 1.28
#10 Aberdeen 1.00
#11 Falkirk FC 0.90
#12 Kilmarnock 0.89
League avg
1.49
Total
14.21 7 matches
Defence
1.00 xGA per match
#2/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Scottish Premiership, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Celtic 0.89
#2 Rangers 1.00
#3 Heart of Midlothian 1.26
#4 Dundee United 1.44
#5 St. Johnstone 1.52
#6 Hibernian 1.55
#7 Dundee FC 1.56
#8 St. Mirren 1.57
#9 Aberdeen 1.57
#10 Motherwell 1.58
#11 Falkirk FC 1.66
#12 Kilmarnock 2.28
League avg
1.49
Total
7.00 7 matches
xG difference
+1.03 xGD per match
#2/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Scottish Premiership, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Celtic +1.88
#2 Rangers +1.03
#3 Heart of Midlothian +0.35
#4 Hibernian +0.20
#5 Dundee United +0.11
#6 St. Mirren -0.12
#7 Motherwell -0.22
#8 St. Johnstone -0.23
#9 Dundee FC -0.28
#10 Aberdeen -0.57
#11 Falkirk FC -0.76
#12 Kilmarnock -1.39
League avg
0.00
Total
+7.21 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
2.01 xPts per match
#2/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Scottish Premiership, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Celtic 2.35
#2 Rangers 2.01
#3 Heart of Midlothian 1.68
#4 Hibernian 1.54
#5 Dundee United 1.43
#6 Motherwell 1.37
#7 St. Mirren 1.33
#8 Dundee FC 1.24
#9 St. Johnstone 1.20
#10 Aberdeen 0.96
#11 Falkirk FC 0.86
#12 Kilmarnock 0.71
League avg
1.39
Total
14.10 vs 16 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Rangers's underlying numbers are among the best in Scottish Premiership. They rank #2 for xG difference at +1.03 per match, driven by elite shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 8 goals are 6.21 below 14.21 xG, while 16 points are 1.90 above 14.10 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.44 xG from penalties
8 14.21 -6.21 scored 6.21 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
4 7.00 -3.00 conceded 3.00 fewer than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
16 14.10 +1.90 1.90 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Rangers are 6.21 goals below their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
8
xG
14.21
Gap
-6.21
Fri 31/07 Sun 09/08 Sun 30/08 Wed 02/09 Sat 05/09 Wed 09/09 Sun 20/09 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.46 -1.51 -2.35 -1.92 -4.85 -5.98 -6.21 -0.46 -1.05 -0.84 +0.43 -2.93 -1.13 -0.23 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Rangers: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 31/07 Dundee United 1 1.46 -0.46 -0.46
Sun 09/08 Hibernian 1 2.05 -1.05 -1.51
Sun 30/08 Aberdeen 1 1.84 -0.84 -2.35
Wed 02/09 Falkirk FC 2 1.57 +0.43 -1.92
Sat 05/09 Motherwell 1 3.93 -2.93 -4.85
Wed 09/09 St. Mirren 1 2.13 -1.13 -5.98
Sun 20/09 Celtic 1 1.23 -0.23 -6.21

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Rangers xG trend

Current form +1.11 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 7 matches. The only negative was against Dundee United on Fri 31/07 (-0.16).

npxG · last 6
1.89
npxGA · last 6
0.78
-1 0 +1 +2 +3 -0.16 Fri 31/07 +1.19 Sun 09/08 +0.60 Sun 30/08 +0.64 Wed 02/09 +2.64 Sat 05/09 +1.06 Wed 09/09 +0.54 Sun 20/09 +0.93 season avg
Rangers: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 31/07 Dundee United 1.43 1.59 -0.16 -0.16
Sun 09/08 Hibernian 2.15 0.96 +1.19 +0.52
Sun 30/08 Aberdeen 1.05 0.45 +0.60 +0.54
Wed 02/09 Falkirk FC 1.58 0.94 +0.64 +0.57
Sat 05/09 Motherwell 3.15 0.51 +2.64 +0.98
Wed 09/09 St. Mirren 2.16 1.10 +1.06 +0.99
Sun 20/09 Celtic 1.25 0.71 +0.54 +0.93

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.82 npxG and 0.89 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 6 hardest of 12 in Scottish Premiership
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 5 hardest of 12 in Scottish Premiership
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 6 hardest of 12

  1. Celtic Away +0.82
  2. St. Mirren Home −0.08
  3. Motherwell Home +0.05
  4. Falkirk FC Away −0.15
  5. Aberdeen Away −0.33
  6. Hibernian Home −0.03
  7. Dundee United Away −0.09

Last 5

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 5 hardest of 12

  1. Celtic Away +0.82
  2. St. Mirren Home −0.08
  3. Motherwell Home +0.05
  4. Falkirk FC Away −0.15
  5. Aberdeen Away −0.33

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Rangers shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. Rangers take 20.0 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), =1 in Scottish Premiership for volume and #6 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 68%), and set pieces produce 24% of their npxG (league 22%).

Attack

Shot volume
20.0 shots per match
=1/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Scottish Premiership, best first
Rank Club shots per match
=1 Celtic 20.0
=1 Rangers 20.0
#3 Hibernian 16.9
#4 Heart of Midlothian 16.0
#5 Dundee United 15.9
#6 Motherwell 14.6
#7 St. Mirren 14.3
#8 Dundee FC 11.3
#9 Falkirk FC 10.7
#10 St. Johnstone 10.6
=11 Aberdeen 9.9
=11 Kilmarnock 9.9
League avg
14.2
Total
140 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#6/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Scottish Premiership, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Celtic 0.14
#2 St. Johnstone 0.12
#3 Dundee FC 0.10
#4 Kilmarnock 0.09
#5 St. Mirren 0.09
#6 Rangers 0.09
#7 Dundee United 0.09
#8 Heart of Midlothian 0.09
#9 Falkirk FC 0.09
#10 Aberdeen 0.09
#11 Hibernian 0.08
#12 Motherwell 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
12.77 npxG from 140 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
9.1 shots per match
#1/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Scottish Premiership, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Rangers 9.1
#2 Heart of Midlothian 9.7
#3 Celtic 11.1
#4 Hibernian 12.4
#5 St. Johnstone 12.6
#6 St. Mirren 14.9
#7 Falkirk FC 15.0
#8 Motherwell 15.1
#9 Dundee United 15.7
#10 Aberdeen 16.7
#11 Kilmarnock 18.4
#12 Dundee FC 19.0
League avg
14.2
Total
64 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#6/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Scottish Premiership, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Celtic 0.07
#2 Dundee FC 0.08
#3 Aberdeen 0.08
#4 Motherwell 0.08
#5 Dundee United 0.08
#6 Rangers 0.10
#7 St. Mirren 0.10
#8 Hibernian 0.11
#9 Falkirk FC 0.11
#10 Heart of Midlothian 0.11
#11 Kilmarnock 0.12
#12 St. Johnstone 0.13
League avg
0.10
Total
6.26 npxGA from 64 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 68%

From 95 of 140 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

73% allowed inside the box

League avg 68%

From 47 of 64 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

76% open play · 24% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 3.1 of 12.7 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

73% open play · 27% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 1.7 of 6.1 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Rangers home and away xG

Rangers per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 2.70 1.53
xGA / match 1.12 0.91
xGD / match +1.59 +0.61
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.22 1.86

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Rangers match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
2.03
xGA / match
1.00
xGD / match
+1.03
Points
16 of 21
  1. Sun 20/09 Celtic A xG 1.23 xGA 0.71 xGD +0.52
  2. Wed 09/09 St. Mirren H xG 2.13 xGA 1.10 xGD +1.03
  3. Sat 05/09 Motherwell H Best underlying xG 3.93 P xGA 0.51 xGD +3.42
  4. Wed 02/09 Falkirk FC A xG 1.57 xGA 0.85 xGD +0.72
  5. Sun 30/08 Aberdeen A xG 1.84 P xGA 0.45 xGD +1.39
  6. Sun 09/08 Hibernian H xG 2.05 xGA 1.74 P xGD +0.31
  7. Fri 31/07 Dundee United A Weakest underlying xG 1.46 xGA 1.64 xGD -0.18

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.93. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Rangers in Scottish Premiership

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

Mind if we count your visit?

We use Google Analytics only to see how many people visit and which pages they read. It loads after you allow it — no ads, no tracking across other sites. What we collect