xgEdge

Every Serie A match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Saturday, 10/10/2026

3 matches
  • Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.05 – 1.14
    →
  • Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.29 – 0.75
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.82 – 1.13
    →

Sunday, 11/10/2026

5 matches
  • Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.32
    Tight
    →
  • Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 0.88 – 1.27
    →
  • Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.22 – 1.14
    Tight
    →
  • Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.36 – 1.19
    →
  • Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 0.80 – 1.58
    Clear favourite
    →

Monday, 12/10/2026

2 matches
  • Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.69 – 1.19
    →
  • Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.21
    →

Friday, 16/10/2026

1 match
  • Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.63 – 1.58
    Tight
    →

Saturday, 17/10/2026

3 matches
  • Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.16 – 1.53
    →
  • Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.10 – 1.47
    →
  • Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.75 – 0.75
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 18/10/2026

4 matches
  • Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.59 – 1.04
    →
  • Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.18 – 1.42
    →
  • Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.36 – 1.09
    →
  • Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.53 – 0.78
    →

Monday, 19/10/2026

2 matches
  • Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.62 – 0.92
    →
  • Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.06 – 1.16
    →

Friday, 23/10/2026

1 match
  • Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.15 – 1.29
    →

Saturday, 24/10/2026

4 matches
  • Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.85 – 1.10
    →
  • Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 0.96 – 1.20
    →
  • Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.17 – 1.33
    →
  • Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.44 – 0.80
    →

Sunday, 25/10/2026

5 matches
  • Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.97 – 1.05
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.33 – 1.12
    →
  • Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.72 – 1.36
    →
  • Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 0.74 – 1.66
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.20 – 1.28
    →

Tuesday, 27/10/2026

3 matches
  • Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.41 – 1.18
    →
  • Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.06 – 1.59
    →
  • Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 2.05 – 0.78
    Clear favourite
    →

Wednesday, 28/10/2026

5 matches
  • Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.20 – 2.14
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.09 – 0.96
    →
  • Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.25
    →
  • Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.22 – 1.18
    Tight
    →
  • Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 0.77 – 1.35
    →

Thursday, 29/10/2026

2 matches
  • Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.84 – 1.12
    →
  • Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.42 – 1.14
    →

Saturday, 31/10/2026

3 matches
  • Bologna Bologna, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Monza Monza, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.15 – 1.01
    →
  • Udinese Udinese, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Roma Roma, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.05 – 1.75
    →
  • Milan Milan, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Win
    Inter Inter, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.17 – 1.61
    →

Sunday, 01/11/2026

5 matches
  • Como Como, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Venezia Venezia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.10 – 0.99
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Frosinone Frosinone, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Torino Torino, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.30
    →
  • Lazio Lazio, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Cagliari Cagliari, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.49 – 0.93
    →
  • Lecce Lecce, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Genoa Genoa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.03 – 1.13
    →
  • Juventus Juventus, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Napoli Napoli, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.40 – 0.88
    →

Monday, 02/11/2026

2 matches
  • Sassuolo Sassuolo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Loss
    Fiorentina Fiorentina, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.42 – 1.24
    →
  • Atalanta Atalanta, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Parma Parma, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.54 – 0.88
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.