xgEdge

Expected goals

Bologna expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Serie A · after 5 matches · updated 1 Oct

Bologna's attacking and defensive expected goals in Serie A 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Bologna xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.18 xG per match
#14/20
Attack (xG per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Inter 2.90
#2 Roma 2.56
#3 Como 1.89
#4 Monza 1.79
#5 Sassuolo 1.73
#6 Fiorentina 1.72
#7 Milan 1.58
#8 Juventus 1.55
#9 Lazio 1.55
#10 Frosinone 1.51
#11 Venezia 1.49
#12 Napoli 1.44
#13 Udinese 1.40
#14 Bologna 1.18
#15 Cagliari 1.09
#16 Lecce 1.06
#17 Torino 1.03
#18 Genoa 0.89
#19 Atalanta 0.81
#20 Parma 0.68
League avg
1.49
Total
5.92 5 matches
Defence
0.95 xGA per match
#2/20
Defence (xGA per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Juventus 0.48
#2 Bologna 0.95
#3 Monza 1.06
#4 Roma 1.11
#5 Milan 1.18
#6 Lazio 1.24
=7 Genoa 1.33
=7 Sassuolo 1.33
#9 Fiorentina 1.33
#10 Inter 1.34
#11 Napoli 1.40
#12 Como 1.53
#13 Parma 1.58
#14 Torino 1.69
#15 Cagliari 1.76
#16 Udinese 1.84
#17 Atalanta 1.87
#18 Frosinone 2.10
#19 Venezia 2.35
#20 Lecce 2.38
League avg
1.49
Total
4.73 5 matches
xG difference
+0.24 xGD per match
#10/20
xG difference (xGD per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Inter +1.55
#2 Roma +1.45
#3 Juventus +1.07
#4 Monza +0.73
#5 Sassuolo +0.41
#6 Milan +0.40
#7 Fiorentina +0.39
#8 Como +0.36
#9 Lazio +0.30
#10 Bologna +0.24
#11 Napoli +0.03
=12 Genoa -0.44
=12 Udinese -0.44
#14 Frosinone -0.59
#15 Torino -0.66
#16 Cagliari -0.66
#17 Venezia -0.87
#18 Parma -0.90
#19 Atalanta -1.06
#20 Lecce -1.32
League avg
0.00
Total
+1.19 5 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.55 xPts per match
#10/20
Expected points (xPts per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Roma 2.23
#2 Juventus 2.23
#3 Inter 2.21
#4 Monza 1.89
#5 Fiorentina 1.69
#6 Milan 1.63
#7 Sassuolo 1.63
#8 Lazio 1.62
#9 Como 1.60
#10 Bologna 1.55
#11 Napoli 1.50
#12 Udinese 1.13
#13 Cagliari 1.11
#14 Genoa 1.00
#15 Frosinone 0.98
#16 Venezia 0.93
#17 Torino 0.88
#18 Parma 0.70
#19 Atalanta 0.67
#20 Lecce 0.60
League avg
1.39
Total
7.76 vs 2 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 5 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Bologna's underlying numbers sit close to the Serie A average. They rank #10 for xG difference at +0.24 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 3 goals are 2.92 below 5.92 xG, while 2 points are 5.76 below 7.76 xPts. After only 5 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
3 5.92 -2.92 scored 2.92 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
6 4.73 +1.27 conceded 1.27 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
2 7.76 -5.76 5.76 points below xPts far outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Bologna are 2.92 goals below their xG after 5 matches. The gap was widest at -3.00, against Napoli on Sun 13/09.

Goals
3
xG
5.92
Gap
-2.92
Mon 24/08 Mon 31/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.78 -2.83 -2.71 -3.00 -2.92 -1.78 -1.05 +0.12 -0.29 +0.08 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Bologna: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Mon 24/08 Lazio 0 1.78 -1.78 -1.78
Mon 31/08 Atalanta 0 1.05 -1.05 -2.83
Sun 06/09 Sassuolo 2 1.88 +0.12 -2.71
Sun 13/09 Napoli 0 0.29 -0.29 -3.00
Sat 19/09 Torino 1 0.92 +0.08 -2.92

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Bologna xG trend

Current form +0.23 npxGD per match

All 5 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 5 matches. The worst was against Napoli on Sun 13/09 (-1.56).

npxG · last 5
1.20
npxGA · last 5
0.97
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +1.24 Mon 24/08 +1.19 Mon 31/08 +0.54 Sun 06/09 -1.56 Sun 13/09 -0.27 Sat 19/09 +0.23 season avg
Bologna: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Mon 24/08 Lazio 1.82 0.58 +1.24 +1.24
Mon 31/08 Atalanta 1.35 0.16 +1.19 +1.21
Sun 06/09 Sassuolo 1.94 1.40 +0.54 +0.99
Sun 13/09 Napoli 0.25 1.81 -1.56 +0.35
Sat 19/09 Torino 0.64 0.91 -0.27 +0.23

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.20 npxG and 0.97 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 12 hardest of 20 in Serie A
−0.02 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.02 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 12 hardest of 20

  1. Torino Home −0.25
  2. Napoli Away +0.24
  3. Sassuolo Home +0.01
  4. Atalanta Away −0.06
  5. Lazio Home −0.02

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Bologna shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Bologna take 13.4 shots a match (league 14.6) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #12 in Serie A for volume and #12 for quality. 67% of their shots come from inside the box (league 66%), and set pieces produce 32% of their npxG (league 24%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.4 shots per match
#12/20
Shot volume (shots per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Como 23.4
#2 Inter 23.2
#3 Roma 20.6
#4 Juventus 17.6
#5 Sassuolo 17.2
=6 Fiorentina 16.8
=6 Frosinone 16.8
#8 Monza 14.4
#9 Udinese 14.2
#10 Venezia 14.0
#11 Napoli 13.8
#12 Bologna 13.4
=13 Lazio 12.8
=13 Milan 12.8
=15 Atalanta 11.8
=15 Genoa 11.8
#17 Cagliari 10.8
#18 Torino 9.4
#19 Lecce 8.4
#20 Parma 8.2
League avg
14.6
Total
67 shots from 5 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#12/20
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Roma 0.13
#2 Inter 0.12
#3 Monza 0.11
#4 Napoli 0.11
#5 Lecce 0.11
#6 Milan 0.11
#7 Lazio 0.11
#8 Venezia 0.10
#9 Fiorentina 0.10
#10 Torino 0.09
#11 Sassuolo 0.09
#12 Bologna 0.09
#13 Juventus 0.09
#14 Udinese 0.09
#15 Frosinone 0.09
#16 Como 0.08
#17 Parma 0.08
#18 Cagliari 0.08
#19 Genoa 0.06
#20 Atalanta 0.06
League avg
0.10
Total
6.00 npxG from 67 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
11.8 shots per match
=5/20
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Juventus 7.8
#2 Milan 9.0
#3 Roma 9.2
#4 Inter 11.4
=5 Bologna 11.8
=5 Fiorentina 11.8
=5 Monza 11.8
#8 Lazio 13.0
#9 Venezia 14.4
#10 Como 15.0
#11 Torino 15.4
=12 Genoa 15.8
=12 Sassuolo 15.8
=14 Lecce 16.6
=14 Napoli 16.6
#16 Udinese 17.2
#17 Parma 18.4
#18 Atalanta 19.2
#19 Cagliari 20.4
#20 Frosinone 20.8
League avg
14.6
Total
59 shots allowed from 5 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.08 npxGA per shot
#6/20
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Juventus 0.06
#2 Sassuolo 0.07
#3 Napoli 0.07
#4 Genoa 0.08
#5 Cagliari 0.08
#6 Bologna 0.08
#7 Lazio 0.08
#8 Frosinone 0.09
#9 Torino 0.09
#10 Como 0.09
#11 Monza 0.09
#12 Parma 0.09
#13 Atalanta 0.09
#14 Udinese 0.11
#15 Roma 0.11
#16 Inter 0.11
#17 Fiorentina 0.11
#18 Milan 0.13
#19 Lecce 0.14
#20 Venezia 0.15
League avg
0.10
Total
4.86 npxGA from 59 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

67% inside the box

League avg 66%

From 45 of 67 shots over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

58% allowed inside the box

League avg 66%

From 34 of 59 shots allowed over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

68% open play · 32% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 1.9 of 6.0 npxG over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

67% open play · 33% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 1.6 of 4.9 npxG allowed over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Bologna home and away xG

Bologna per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away only 2 matches with xG
Matches 3 2
xG / match 1.53 0.67
xGA / match 1.13 0.67
xGD / match +0.40 +0.00
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.66 1.39

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Bologna match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
5
xG / match
1.18
xGA / match
0.95
xGD / match
+0.24
Points
2 of 15
  1. Sat 19/09 Torino H xG 0.92 xGA 1.14 xGD -0.22
  2. Sun 13/09 Napoli A Weakest underlying xG 0.29 xGA 1.19 xGD -0.90
  3. Sun 06/09 Sassuolo H xG 1.88 xGA 1.62 xGD +0.26
  4. Mon 31/08 Atalanta A xG 1.05 xGA 0.15 xGD +0.90
  5. Mon 24/08 Lazio H Against the chances xG 1.78 xGA 0.63 xGD +1.15

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Bologna in Serie A

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

Mind if we count your visit?

We use Google Analytics only to see how many people visit and which pages they read. It loads after you allow it — no ads, no tracking across other sites. What we collect