Genoa 3:2 Bologna: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 25/01/2026 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Genoa Home 0.54 xG · 8 shots

Bologna Away 0.50 xG · 14 shots

32 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

35' Lewis Ferguson Bologna · 0.05 xG chance 0–1
47' Sebastian Otoa (o.g.) Bologna · 0.15 xG chance 0–2
62' Ruslan Malinovskyi Genoa · 0.03 xG chance 1–2
78' Caleb Ekuban Genoa · 0.07 xG chance 2–2
90' Junior Messias Genoa · 0.03 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Genoa Bologna

Shots: 8; 14
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 4; 7
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.05
Open play xG: 0.39; 0.47
Set-piece xG: 0.14; 0.17
Penalties: —; —

Genoa's shots add up to 0.53 xG and Bologna's to 0.64; the published figures are 0.54 and 0.50.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 1.17 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Genoa
Bologna
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Genoa

0.92 xG created 1.26 xGA

L 0.81 created, 1.44 conceded against Atalanta
L 0.71 created, 1.37 conceded against Roma
D 0.54 created, 0.62 conceded against Pisa
D 1.32 created, 2.45 conceded against Milan
W 1.08 created, 1.26 conceded against Cagliari
D 1.04 created, 0.41 conceded against Parma

Bologna

1.01 xG created 1.62 xGA

D 0.88 created, 1.62 conceded against Sassuolo
L 0.85 created, 2.93 conceded against Inter
L 1.10 created, 1.38 conceded against Atalanta
D 1.15 created, 0.84 conceded against Como
W 0.79 created, 1.20 conceded against Hellas Verona
L 1.31 created, 1.73 conceded against Fiorentina

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Genoa: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Bologna 2:1 Genoa 20/09/2025 xG 1.59 – 0.53

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.