xgEdge

Expected goals

Başakşehir FK expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Süper Lig · after 6 matches · updated 4 Oct

Başakşehir FK's attacking and defensive expected goals in Süper Lig 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Başakşehir FK xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.63 xG per match
#7/18
Attack (xG per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Galatasaray 2.36
#2 Fenerbahçe 2.32
#3 Göztepe 1.99
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 1.95
#5 Beşiktaş 1.85
#6 Trabzonspor 1.71
#7 Başakşehir FK 1.63
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 1.43
#9 Çorum FK 1.30
#10 Alanyaspor 1.24
#11 Konyaspor 1.24
#12 Samsunspor 1.15
#13 Kasımpaşa 1.14
#14 Gaziantep FK 1.11
#15 Kocaelispor 1.04
#16 Gençlerbirliği 1.01
#17 Eyüpspor 0.82
#18 Erzurumspor FK 0.67
League avg
1.44
Total
9.79 6 matches
Defence
1.88 xGA per match
#15/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Beşiktaş 0.66
#2 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.99
#3 Kasımpaşa 1.04
#4 Galatasaray 1.12
#5 Fenerbahçe 1.13
#6 Konyaspor 1.22
#7 Alanyaspor 1.28
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 1.31
#9 Kocaelispor 1.41
#10 Gaziantep FK 1.47
#11 Samsunspor 1.53
=12 Trabzonspor 1.56
=12 Çorum FK 1.56
#14 Erzurumspor FK 1.59
#15 Başakşehir FK 1.88
#16 Göztepe 1.92
#17 Eyüpspor 2.15
#18 Gençlerbirliği 2.16
League avg
1.44
Total
11.28 6 matches
xG difference
-0.25 xGD per match
#11/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Galatasaray +1.24
#2 Beşiktaş +1.19
#3 Fenerbahçe +1.19
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler +0.96
#5 Trabzonspor +0.16
#6 Çaykur Rizespor +0.11
#7 Kasımpaşa +0.10
#8 Göztepe +0.07
#9 Konyaspor +0.02
#10 Alanyaspor -0.04
#11 Başakşehir FK -0.25
#12 Çorum FK -0.25
#13 Gaziantep FK -0.36
#14 Kocaelispor -0.37
#15 Samsunspor -0.37
#16 Erzurumspor FK -0.92
#17 Gençlerbirliği -1.15
#18 Eyüpspor -1.32
League avg
0.00
Total
-1.49 6 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.40 xPts per match
#8/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Beşiktaş 2.23
#2 Galatasaray 2.12
#3 Fenerbahçe 1.97
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 1.84
#5 Çaykur Rizespor 1.54
#6 Göztepe 1.47
#7 Trabzonspor 1.45
#8 Başakşehir FK 1.40
#9 Kasımpaşa 1.39
#10 Konyaspor 1.38
#11 Çorum FK 1.36
#12 Alanyaspor 1.29
#13 Kocaelispor 1.13
#14 Gaziantep FK 1.11
#15 Samsunspor 1.02
#16 Erzurumspor FK 0.82
#17 Gençlerbirliği 0.72
#18 Eyüpspor 0.71
League avg
1.39
Total
8.39 vs 7 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 6 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Başakşehir FK's underlying numbers sit close to the Süper Lig average. They rank #11 for xG difference at -0.25 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 10 goals are 0.21 above 9.79 xG, while 7 points are 1.39 below 8.39 xPts. After only 6 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 2.70 xG from penalties
10 9.79 +0.21 scored 0.21 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
11 11.28 -0.28 conceded 0.28 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
7 8.39 -1.39 1.39 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Başakşehir FK are 0.21 goals above their xG after 6 matches.

Goals
10
xG
9.79
Gap
+0.21
Sun 16/08 Sun 23/08 Sun 30/08 Fri 04/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.04 -0.91 -0.67 -0.66 -1.05 +0.21 +0.04 -0.95 +0.24 +0.01 -0.39 +1.26 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Başakşehir FK: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 16/08 Kocaelispor 2 1.96 +0.04 +0.04
Sun 23/08 Trabzonspor 1 1.95 -0.95 -0.91
Sun 30/08 Kasımpaşa 1 0.76 +0.24 -0.67
Fri 04/09 Galatasaray 2 1.99 +0.01 -0.66
Sun 13/09 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0 0.39 -0.39 -1.05
Sat 19/09 Gençlerbirliği 4 2.74 +1.26 +0.21

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Başakşehir FK xG trend

Current form -0.56 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 6 matches. The worst was against Amed Sportif Faaliyetler on Sun 13/09 (-3.51).

npxG · last 6
1.18
npxGA · last 6
1.74
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +1.46 Sun 16/08 -1.03 Sun 23/08 -0.82 Sun 30/08 -1.00 Fri 04/09 -3.51 Sun 13/09 +1.54 Sat 19/09 -0.56 season avg
Başakşehir FK: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 16/08 Kocaelispor 1.96 0.50 +1.46 +1.46
Sun 23/08 Trabzonspor 1.02 2.05 -1.03 +0.22
Sun 30/08 Kasımpaşa 0.76 1.58 -0.82 -0.13
Fri 04/09 Galatasaray 1.03 2.03 -1.00 -0.35
Sun 13/09 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.32 3.83 -3.51 -0.98
Sat 19/09 Gençlerbirliği 2.00 0.46 +1.54 -0.56

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.18 npxG and 1.74 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 4 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
+0.05 xG vs league average
Over 6 league matches
Last 5
tied number 1 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
+0.11 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.05 xG vs league average · over 6 matches · tied number 4 hardest of 18

  1. Gençlerbirliği Home −0.40
  2. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler Away +0.27
  3. Galatasaray Home +0.67
  4. Kasımpaşa Home −0.17
  5. Trabzonspor Away +0.16
  6. Kocaelispor Home −0.23

Last 5

+0.11 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 1 hardest of 18

  1. Gençlerbirliği Home −0.40
  2. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler Away +0.27
  3. Galatasaray Home +0.67
  4. Kasımpaşa Home −0.17
  5. Trabzonspor Away +0.16

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Başakşehir FK shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Başakşehir FK take 13.0 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.09), =9 in Süper Lig for volume and #7 for quality. 58% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 10% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.0 shots per match
=9/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Galatasaray 22.7
#2 Fenerbahçe 18.3
#3 Beşiktaş 17.8
#4 Göztepe 17.2
#5 Çaykur Rizespor 15.5
#6 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 14.7
#7 Trabzonspor 14.2
#8 Samsunspor 13.2
=9 Başakşehir FK 13.0
=9 Eyüpspor 13.0
=9 Gaziantep FK 13.0
=9 Çorum FK 13.0
#13 Kocaelispor 12.3
#14 Gençlerbirliği 12.0
#15 Kasımpaşa 11.8
#16 Konyaspor 11.7
#17 Alanyaspor 10.8
#18 Erzurumspor FK 9.0
League avg
14.1
Total
78 shots from 6 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#7/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Fenerbahçe 0.12
#2 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.12
#3 Alanyaspor 0.11
#4 Trabzonspor 0.11
#5 Konyaspor 0.10
#6 Galatasaray 0.10
#7 Başakşehir FK 0.09
#8 Beşiktaş 0.09
#9 Çorum FK 0.08
#10 Gençlerbirliği 0.08
#11 Kasımpaşa 0.08
#12 Erzurumspor FK 0.08
#13 Çaykur Rizespor 0.08
#14 Göztepe 0.08
#15 Kocaelispor 0.08
#16 Gaziantep FK 0.07
#17 Samsunspor 0.06
#18 Eyüpspor 0.06
League avg
0.09
Total
7.09 npxG from 78 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.5 shots per match
=6/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Beşiktaş 8.5
#2 Galatasaray 10.0
#3 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 11.0
#4 Fenerbahçe 12.5
#5 Trabzonspor 12.7
=6 Başakşehir FK 13.5
=6 Kasımpaşa 13.5
#8 Erzurumspor FK 13.7
#9 Alanyaspor 14.2
#10 Gaziantep FK 14.3
#11 Eyüpspor 14.5
#12 Çaykur Rizespor 14.8
#13 Konyaspor 15.0
#14 Samsunspor 15.3
#15 Çorum FK 16.2
#16 Kocaelispor 17.2
=17 Gençlerbirliği 18.2
=17 Göztepe 18.2
League avg
14.1
Total
81 shots allowed from 6 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.13 npxGA per shot
#18/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Konyaspor 0.07
#2 Beşiktaş 0.07
#3 Kasımpaşa 0.07
#4 Gaziantep FK 0.08
#5 Alanyaspor 0.08
#6 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.08
#7 Göztepe 0.08
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 0.08
#9 Kocaelispor 0.08
#10 Çorum FK 0.08
#11 Fenerbahçe 0.09
#12 Trabzonspor 0.09
#13 Samsunspor 0.09
#14 Galatasaray 0.10
#15 Gençlerbirliği 0.10
#16 Erzurumspor FK 0.11
#17 Eyüpspor 0.12
#18 Başakşehir FK 0.13
League avg
0.09
Total
10.45 npxGA from 81 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

58% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 45 of 78 shots over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

56% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 45 of 81 shots allowed over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

90% open play · 10% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 0.7 of 7.0 npxG over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

84% open play · 16% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.6 of 10.2 npxG allowed over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Başakşehir FK home and away xG

Başakşehir FK per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away only 2 matches with xG
Matches 4 2
xG / match 1.86 1.17
xGA / match 1.19 3.26
xGD / match +0.67 -2.09
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.80 0.60

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Başakşehir FK match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

At home this season

Matches
4
xG / match
1.86
xGA / match
1.19
xGD / match
+0.67
Points
7 of 12
  1. Sat 19/09 Gençlerbirliği H xG 2.74 P xGA 0.52 xGD +2.22
  2. Fri 04/09 Galatasaray H xG 1.99 P xGA 2.12 xGD -0.13
  3. Sun 30/08 Kasımpaşa H xG 0.76 xGA 1.69 xGD -0.93
  4. Sun 16/08 Kocaelispor H xG 1.96 xGA 0.43 xGD +1.53

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Başakşehir FK in Süper Lig

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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