xgEdge

Expected goals

Galatasaray expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Süper Lig · after 6 matches · updated 1 Oct

Galatasaray's attacking and defensive expected goals in Süper Lig 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Galatasaray xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.36 xG per match
#1/18
Attack (xG per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Galatasaray 2.36
#2 Fenerbahçe 2.32
#3 Göztepe 1.99
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 1.95
#5 Beşiktaş 1.85
#6 Trabzonspor 1.71
#7 Başakşehir FK 1.63
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 1.43
#9 Çorum FK 1.30
#10 Alanyaspor 1.24
#11 Konyaspor 1.24
#12 Samsunspor 1.15
#13 Kasımpaşa 1.14
#14 Gaziantep FK 1.11
#15 Kocaelispor 1.04
#16 Gençlerbirliği 1.01
#17 Eyüpspor 0.82
#18 Erzurumspor FK 0.67
League avg
1.44
Total
14.19 6 matches
Defence
1.12 xGA per match
#4/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Beşiktaş 0.66
#2 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.99
#3 Kasımpaşa 1.04
#4 Galatasaray 1.12
#5 Fenerbahçe 1.13
#6 Konyaspor 1.22
#7 Alanyaspor 1.28
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 1.31
#9 Kocaelispor 1.41
#10 Gaziantep FK 1.47
#11 Samsunspor 1.53
=12 Trabzonspor 1.56
=12 Çorum FK 1.56
#14 Erzurumspor FK 1.59
#15 Başakşehir FK 1.88
#16 Göztepe 1.92
#17 Eyüpspor 2.15
#18 Gençlerbirliği 2.16
League avg
1.44
Total
6.73 6 matches
xG difference
+1.24 xGD per match
#1/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Galatasaray +1.24
#2 Beşiktaş +1.19
#3 Fenerbahçe +1.19
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler +0.96
#5 Trabzonspor +0.16
#6 Çaykur Rizespor +0.11
#7 Kasımpaşa +0.10
#8 Göztepe +0.07
#9 Konyaspor +0.02
#10 Alanyaspor -0.04
#11 Başakşehir FK -0.25
#12 Çorum FK -0.25
#13 Gaziantep FK -0.36
#14 Kocaelispor -0.37
#15 Samsunspor -0.37
#16 Erzurumspor FK -0.92
#17 Gençlerbirliği -1.15
#18 Eyüpspor -1.32
League avg
0.00
Total
+7.46 6 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
2.12 xPts per match
#2/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Beşiktaş 2.23
#2 Galatasaray 2.12
#3 Fenerbahçe 1.97
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 1.84
#5 Çaykur Rizespor 1.54
#6 Göztepe 1.47
#7 Trabzonspor 1.45
#8 Başakşehir FK 1.40
#9 Kasımpaşa 1.39
#10 Konyaspor 1.38
#11 Çorum FK 1.36
#12 Alanyaspor 1.29
#13 Kocaelispor 1.13
#14 Gaziantep FK 1.11
#15 Samsunspor 1.02
#16 Erzurumspor FK 0.82
#17 Gençlerbirliği 0.72
#18 Eyüpspor 0.71
League avg
1.39
Total
12.70 vs 13 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 6 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Galatasaray's underlying numbers are league-leading. They rank #1 for xG difference at +1.24 per match, driven by the league's highest shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 13 goals are 1.19 below 14.19 xG, while 13 points are 0.30 above 12.70 xPts. After only 6 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.16 xG from penalties
13 14.19 -1.19 scored 1.19 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
10 6.73 +3.27 conceded 3.27 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
13 12.70 +0.30 0.30 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Galatasaray are 1.19 goals below their xG after 6 matches.

Goals
13
xG
14.19
Gap
-1.19
Fri 14/08 Fri 21/08 Sat 29/08 Fri 04/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.90 +0.02 +0.15 +1.03 -0.23 -1.19 -0.90 +0.92 +0.13 +0.88 -1.26 -0.96 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Galatasaray: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 14/08 Çorum FK 2 2.90 -0.90 -0.90
Fri 21/08 Erzurumspor FK 4 3.08 +0.92 +0.02
Sat 29/08 Göztepe 3 2.87 +0.13 +0.15
Fri 04/09 Başakşehir FK 3 2.12 +0.88 +1.03
Sun 13/09 Kocaelispor 1 2.26 -1.26 -0.23
Sat 19/09 Trabzonspor 0 0.96 -0.96 -1.19

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Galatasaray xG trend

Current form +1.21 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 5 of 6 matches. The only negative was against Trabzonspor on Sat 19/09 (-1.42).

npxG · last 6
2.17
npxGA · last 6
0.96
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +2.29 Fri 14/08 +2.07 Fri 21/08 +1.58 Sat 29/08 +1.00 Fri 04/09 +1.75 Sun 13/09 -1.42 Sat 19/09 +1.21 season avg
Galatasaray: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 14/08 Çorum FK 2.90 0.61 +2.29 +2.29
Fri 21/08 Erzurumspor FK 2.56 0.49 +2.07 +2.18
Sat 29/08 Göztepe 2.19 0.61 +1.58 +1.98
Fri 04/09 Başakşehir FK 2.03 1.03 +1.00 +1.74
Sun 13/09 Kocaelispor 2.49 0.74 +1.75 +1.74
Sat 19/09 Trabzonspor 0.86 2.28 -1.42 +1.21

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.17 npxG and 0.96 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 16 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
−0.06 xG vs league average
Over 6 league matches
Last 5
number 14 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
−0.05 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.06 xG vs league average · over 6 matches · number 16 hardest of 18

  1. Trabzonspor Away +0.16
  2. Kocaelispor Home −0.23
  3. Başakşehir FK Away −0.02
  4. Göztepe Home +0.07
  5. Erzurumspor FK Away −0.25
  6. Çorum FK Home −0.09

Last 5

−0.05 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 14 hardest of 18

  1. Trabzonspor Away +0.16
  2. Kocaelispor Home −0.23
  3. Başakşehir FK Away −0.02
  4. Göztepe Home +0.07
  5. Erzurumspor FK Away −0.25

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Galatasaray shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. Galatasaray take 22.7 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #1 in Süper Lig for volume and #6 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 30% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
22.7 shots per match
#1/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Galatasaray 22.7
#2 Fenerbahçe 18.3
#3 Beşiktaş 17.8
#4 Göztepe 17.2
#5 Çaykur Rizespor 15.5
#6 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 14.7
#7 Trabzonspor 14.2
#8 Samsunspor 13.2
=9 Başakşehir FK 13.0
=9 Eyüpspor 13.0
=9 Gaziantep FK 13.0
=9 Çorum FK 13.0
#13 Kocaelispor 12.3
#14 Gençlerbirliği 12.0
#15 Kasımpaşa 11.8
#16 Konyaspor 11.7
#17 Alanyaspor 10.8
#18 Erzurumspor FK 9.0
League avg
14.1
Total
136 shots from 6 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#6/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Fenerbahçe 0.12
#2 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.12
#3 Alanyaspor 0.11
#4 Trabzonspor 0.11
#5 Konyaspor 0.10
#6 Galatasaray 0.10
#7 Başakşehir FK 0.09
#8 Beşiktaş 0.09
#9 Çorum FK 0.08
#10 Gençlerbirliği 0.08
#11 Kasımpaşa 0.08
#12 Erzurumspor FK 0.08
#13 Çaykur Rizespor 0.08
#14 Göztepe 0.08
#15 Kocaelispor 0.08
#16 Gaziantep FK 0.07
#17 Samsunspor 0.06
#18 Eyüpspor 0.06
League avg
0.09
Total
13.03 npxG from 136 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
10.0 shots per match
#2/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Beşiktaş 8.5
#2 Galatasaray 10.0
#3 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 11.0
#4 Fenerbahçe 12.5
#5 Trabzonspor 12.7
=6 Başakşehir FK 13.5
=6 Kasımpaşa 13.5
#8 Erzurumspor FK 13.7
#9 Alanyaspor 14.2
#10 Gaziantep FK 14.3
#11 Eyüpspor 14.5
#12 Çaykur Rizespor 14.8
#13 Konyaspor 15.0
#14 Samsunspor 15.3
#15 Çorum FK 16.2
#16 Kocaelispor 17.2
=17 Gençlerbirliği 18.2
=17 Göztepe 18.2
League avg
14.1
Total
60 shots allowed from 6 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#14/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Konyaspor 0.07
#2 Beşiktaş 0.07
#3 Kasımpaşa 0.07
#4 Gaziantep FK 0.08
#5 Alanyaspor 0.08
#6 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.08
#7 Göztepe 0.08
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 0.08
#9 Kocaelispor 0.08
#10 Çorum FK 0.08
#11 Fenerbahçe 0.09
#12 Trabzonspor 0.09
#13 Samsunspor 0.09
#14 Galatasaray 0.10
#15 Gençlerbirliği 0.10
#16 Erzurumspor FK 0.11
#17 Eyüpspor 0.12
#18 Başakşehir FK 0.13
League avg
0.09
Total
5.76 npxGA from 60 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 92 of 136 shots over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

72% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 43 of 60 shots allowed over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

70% open play · 30% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 3.9 of 13.0 npxG over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

73% open play · 27% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.5 of 5.6 npxG allowed over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Galatasaray home and away xG

Galatasaray per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 3
xG / match 2.68 2.05
xGA / match 0.69 1.56
xGD / match +1.99 +0.50
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.62 1.62

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Galatasaray match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
6
xG / match
2.36
xGA / match
1.12
xGD / match
+1.24
Points
13 of 18
  1. Sat 19/09 Trabzonspor A Weakest underlying xG 0.96 xGA 2.20 xGD -1.24
  2. Sun 13/09 Kocaelispor H xG 2.26 xGA 0.82 xGD +1.44
  3. Fri 04/09 Başakşehir FK A xG 2.12 xGA 1.99 P xGD +0.13
  4. Sat 29/08 Göztepe H xG 2.87 P xGA 0.63 xGD +2.24
  5. Fri 21/08 Erzurumspor FK A Best underlying xG 3.08 P xGA 0.48 xGD +2.60
  6. Fri 14/08 Çorum FK H xG 2.90 xGA 0.61 xGD +2.29

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.08. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Galatasaray in Süper Lig

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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