xgEdge

Expected goals

Lyngby expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Superliga (Denmark) · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

Lyngby's attacking and defensive expected goals in Superliga (Denmark) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Lyngby xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.85 xG per match
#2/12
Attack (xG per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland 2.35
#2 Lyngby 1.85
#3 FC København 1.62
=4 AGF 1.60
=4 Viborg FF 1.60
#6 Odense Boldklub 1.55
#7 FC Midtjylland 1.44
#8 Brøndby IF 1.22
#9 Silkeborg IF 1.10
#10 AC Horsens 1.09
#11 Randers FC 1.06
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.01
League avg
1.46
Total
16.61 9 matches
Defence
1.36 xGA per match
#4/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Midtjylland 1.11
#2 FC København 1.16
#3 Viborg FF 1.17
#4 Lyngby 1.36
#5 FC Nordsjælland 1.43
#6 Silkeborg IF 1.47
#7 Brøndby IF 1.54
#8 AGF 1.56
#9 AC Horsens 1.57
#10 Randers FC 1.65
#11 Odense Boldklub 1.68
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.81
League avg
1.46
Total
12.25 9 matches
xG difference
+0.48 xGD per match
#2/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland +0.93
#2 Lyngby +0.48
#3 FC København +0.46
#4 Viborg FF +0.43
#5 FC Midtjylland +0.33
#6 AGF +0.04
#7 Odense Boldklub -0.13
#8 Brøndby IF -0.32
#9 Silkeborg IF -0.36
#10 AC Horsens -0.48
#11 Randers FC -0.59
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold -0.80
League avg
0.00
Total
+4.36 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.61 xPts per match
#5/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland 1.90
#2 FC København 1.71
#3 Viborg FF 1.70
#4 FC Midtjylland 1.61
#5 Lyngby 1.61
#6 AGF 1.49
#7 Odense Boldklub 1.30
#8 Silkeborg IF 1.22
#9 Brøndby IF 1.18
#10 AC Horsens 1.05
#11 Randers FC 0.99
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.82
League avg
1.38
Total
14.48 vs 7 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Lyngby's underlying numbers are among the best in Superliga (Denmark). They rank #2 for xG difference at +0.48 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 10 goals are 6.61 below 16.61 xG, while 7 points are 7.48 below 14.48 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 3.33 xG from penalties
10 16.61 -6.61 scored 6.61 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
16 12.25 +3.75 conceded 3.75 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
7 14.48 -7.48 7.48 points below xPts far outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Lyngby are 6.61 goals below their xG after 9 matches.

Goals
10
xG
16.61
Gap
-6.61
Sun 26/07 Sat 01/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 23/08 Sun 30/08 Fri 04/09 Sun 13/09 Fri 18/09 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.34 -1.71 -3.56 -3.05 -4.92 -5.89 -5.44 -6.31 -6.61 -0.34 -1.37 -1.85 +0.51 -1.87 -0.97 +0.45 -0.87 -0.30 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Lyngby: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 FC København 2 2.34 -0.34 -0.34
Sat 01/08 AGF 2 3.37 -1.37 -1.71
Sun 09/08 Randers FC 0 1.85 -1.85 -3.56
Sun 16/08 FC Midtjylland 1 0.49 +0.51 -3.05
Sun 23/08 AC Horsens 1 2.87 -1.87 -4.92
Sun 30/08 Odense Boldklub 1 1.97 -0.97 -5.89
Fri 04/09 Viborg FF 2 1.55 +0.45 -5.44
Sun 13/09 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1 1.87 -0.87 -6.31
Fri 18/09 Silkeborg IF 0 0.30 -0.30 -6.61

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Lyngby xG trend

Current form -0.05 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 5 of 9 matches. The worst was against Viborg FF on Fri 04/09 (-1.07).

npxG · last 6
1.16
npxGA · last 6
1.22
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +1.02 Sun 26/07 +1.50 Sat 01/08 +0.00 Sun 09/08 -0.70 Sun 16/08 +1.53 Sun 23/08 +0.20 Sun 30/08 -1.07 Fri 04/09 +0.37 Sun 13/09 -0.65 Fri 18/09 +0.24 season avg
Lyngby: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 26/07 FC København 2.56 1.54 +1.02 +1.02
Sat 01/08 AGF 2.14 0.64 +1.50 +1.26
Sun 09/08 Randers FC 1.61 1.61 +0.00 +0.84
Sun 16/08 FC Midtjylland 0.50 1.20 -0.70 +0.46
Sun 23/08 AC Horsens 2.23 0.70 +1.53 +0.67
Sun 30/08 Odense Boldklub 1.96 1.76 +0.20 +0.59
Fri 04/09 Viborg FF 0.47 1.54 -1.07 +0.35
Sun 13/09 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.51 1.14 +0.37 +0.36
Fri 18/09 Silkeborg IF 0.30 0.95 -0.65 +0.24

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.48 npxG and 1.23 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 9 hardest of 12 in Superliga (Denmark)
−0.05 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 12 hardest of 12 in Superliga (Denmark)
−0.18 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.05 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · tied number 9 hardest of 12

  1. Silkeborg IF Home −0.30
  2. Sønderjyske Fodbold Home −0.51
  3. Viborg FF Away +0.16
  4. Odense Boldklub Home −0.04
  5. AC Horsens Away −0.22
  6. FC Midtjylland Home +0.09
  7. Randers FC Away −0.27
  8. AGF Home +0.25
  9. FC København Away +0.38

Last 5

−0.18 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 12 hardest of 12

  1. Silkeborg IF Home −0.30
  2. Sønderjyske Fodbold Home −0.51
  3. Viborg FF Away +0.16
  4. Odense Boldklub Home −0.04
  5. AC Horsens Away −0.22

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Lyngby shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Lyngby take 14.8 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #6 in Superliga (Denmark) for volume and #5 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 24% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.8 shots per match
#6/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland 17.6
#2 AGF 16.8
#3 Odense Boldklub 15.3
#4 Brøndby IF 15.2
#5 FC København 15.0
#6 Lyngby 14.8
#7 FC Midtjylland 14.2
#8 Viborg FF 13.6
#9 Sønderjyske Fodbold 11.6
#10 Silkeborg IF 11.4
#11 AC Horsens 11.2
#12 Randers FC 9.9
League avg
13.9
Total
133 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#5/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Nordsjælland 0.13
#2 Viborg FF 0.12
#3 Randers FC 0.10
#4 FC København 0.10
#5 Lyngby 0.10
#6 FC Midtjylland 0.10
#7 Odense Boldklub 0.09
#8 AC Horsens 0.08
#9 Silkeborg IF 0.08
#10 AGF 0.08
#11 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.08
#12 Brøndby IF 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
13.28 npxG from 133 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.9 shots per match
=4/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC København 11.9
#2 Silkeborg IF 12.4
#3 Brøndby IF 12.6
=4 FC Midtjylland 12.9
=4 Lyngby 12.9
#6 FC Nordsjælland 13.3
#7 Odense Boldklub 13.6
=8 AGF 13.7
=8 Viborg FF 13.7
#10 AC Horsens 15.0
#11 Randers FC 16.4
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 18.2
League avg
13.9
Total
116 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#7/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Viborg FF 0.08
#2 FC Midtjylland 0.08
#3 AGF 0.09
#4 FC Nordsjælland 0.09
#5 FC København 0.09
#6 Randers FC 0.09
#7 Lyngby 0.10
#8 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.10
#9 AC Horsens 0.10
#10 Brøndby IF 0.11
#11 Odense Boldklub 0.11
#12 Silkeborg IF 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
11.08 npxGA from 116 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 88 of 133 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

68% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 79 of 116 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

76% open play · 24% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 3.2 of 13.2 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

78% open play · 22% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.5 of 11.2 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Lyngby home and away xG

Lyngby per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 5 4
xG / match 1.60 2.15
xGA / match 1.38 1.34
xGD / match +0.22 +0.82
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.38 1.90

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Lyngby match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9
xG / match
1.85
xGA / match
1.36
xGD / match
+0.48
Points
7 of 27
  1. Fri 18/09 Silkeborg IF H Weakest underlying xG 0.30 xGA 0.95 xGD -0.65
  2. Sun 13/09 Sønderjyske Fodbold H xG 1.87 xGA 1.80 P xGD +0.07
  3. Fri 04/09 Viborg FF A xG 1.55 P xGA 1.52 xGD +0.03
  4. Sun 30/08 Odense Boldklub H xG 1.97 xGA 1.75 xGD +0.22
  5. Sun 23/08 AC Horsens A Against the chances xG 2.87 P xGA 0.76 xGD +2.11
  6. Sun 16/08 FC Midtjylland H xG 0.49 xGA 1.05 xGD -0.56
  7. Sun 09/08 Randers FC A xG 1.85 xGA 1.51 xGD +0.34
  8. Sat 01/08 AGF H xG 3.37 P xGA 1.35 P xGD +2.02
  9. Sun 26/07 FC København A xG 2.34 xGA 1.56 xGD +0.78

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.37. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Lyngby in Superliga (Denmark)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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