xgEdge

Young Boys's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 5 of 9 matching results

9 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses

9 pts 15–12 goals +3 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
11.32 – 7.23
2.26 – 1.45 per match
xGD
+4.09
+0.82 per match
xG record
4 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 0 against them

Comparable xG: 5 of 5 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

9 pts 9.6 xPts

−0.6 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 5 of 5 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 5 · All competitions · All venues

Young Boys's mixed record sits behind chances that argue for more. They out-created the opponent in 4 of 5 matches, for +4.09 xG difference overall on 11.32–7.23. Their points total of 9 sits 0.6 below the model's 9.6 xPts, so the chances have slightly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 5 results Young Boys are 0.60 points below their xPts. The gap was widest at -0.99, against FC Lugano on Sat 12/09.

Points
9
xPts
9.60
Gap
-0.60
Sat 29/08 Tue 01/09 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.75 +1.03 -0.05 -0.99 -0.60 -0.75 +1.78 -1.08 -0.94 +0.39 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Young Boys: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 29/08 Basel 1 1.75 -0.75 -0.75
Tue 01/09 FC Zürich 3 1.22 +1.78 +1.03
Sat 05/09 FC Luzern 1 2.08 -1.08 -0.05
Sat 12/09 FC Lugano 1 1.94 -0.94 -0.99
Sat 19/09 Servette FC 3 2.61 +0.39 -0.60

Scores and xG

Young Boys first

  • Home Swiss Super League Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.35

    xGA 0.54

    xGD +1.81

    3:2 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Servette FC, Sat 19/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.61
    Points minus xPts
    +0.39

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Draw against the chances

    xG 2.32

    xGA 1.51

    xGD +0.81

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Lugano, Sat 12/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.94
    Points minus xPts
    -0.94

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Draw against the chances

    xG 3.36

    xGA 2.19

    xGD +1.17

    3:3 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Luzern, Sat 05/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    2.08
    Points minus xPts
    -1.08

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Win with even chances

    xG 1.52

    xGA 1.71

    xGD -0.19

    4:2 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Zürich, Tue 01/09

    The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.22
    Points minus xPts
    +1.78

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Draw against the chances

    xG 1.77

    xGA 1.28

    xGD +0.49

    3:3 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Basel, Sat 29/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.75
    Points minus xPts
    -0.75

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

FC Zürich 4:2

· Away xG / xGA 1.52 – 1.71

Goal difference
+2
xGD
-0.19
GD minus xGD
+2.19

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

FC Luzern 3:3

· Home xG / xGA 3.36 – 2.19

Goal difference
0
xGD
+1.17
GD minus xGD
-1.17

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →