Southampton 1:1 Middlesbrough: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 27/09/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Southampton Home 0.85 xG · 14 shots

Middlesbrough Away 0.29 xG · 7 shots

11 Southampton had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

61' Adam Armstrong Southampton · 0.05 xG chance 1–0
77' Mamadou Kaly Sene Middlesbrough · 0.05 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Southampton Middlesbrough

Shots: 14; 7
On target: 2; 1
Inside the box: 6; 5
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.04
Open play xG: 0.30; 0.21
Set-piece xG: 0.54; 0.08
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.85 for Southampton and 0.28 for Middlesbrough.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 1.12 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Southampton
Middlesbrough
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Southampton

1.92 xG created 1.44 xGA

W 4.14 created, 1.88 conceded against Wrexham
D 0.75 created, 1.64 conceded against Ipswich Town
L 2.59 created, 1.50 conceded against Stoke City
D 1.81 created, 0.55 conceded against Watford
D 1.18 created, 0.94 conceded against Portsmouth
L 1.07 created, 2.13 conceded against Hull City

Middlesbrough

1.07 xG created 0.66 xGA

W 0.35 created, 0.10 conceded against Swansea City
W 0.99 created, 0.60 conceded against Millwall
W 1.51 created, 1.18 conceded against Norwich City
W 1.09 created, 0.44 conceded against Sheffield United
D 1.52 created, 0.75 conceded against Preston North End
W 0.96 created, 0.89 conceded against West Bromwich Albion

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.