Hull City 3:1 Southampton: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 20/09/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Hull City Home 2.13 xG · 11 shots

Southampton Away 1.07 xG · 14 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

22' Kyle Joseph Hull City · 0.89 xG chance 1–0
59' John Lundstram Hull City · 0.61 xG chance 2–0
70' Oli McBurnie Hull City · 0.09 xG chance 3–0
90' Adam Armstrong Southampton · 0.22 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Hull City Southampton

Shots: 11; 14
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 8; 9
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.08
Open play xG: 1.82; 0.94
Set-piece xG: 0.23; 0.13
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.08 for Hull City and 1.07 for Southampton.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 3.13 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Hull City
Southampton
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Hull City

1.41 xG created 1.99 xGA

D 0.43 created, 1.43 conceded against Coventry City
W 1.91 created, 1.02 conceded against Oxford United
L 0.52 created, 3.03 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
L 2.60 created, 3.49 conceded against Bristol City
D 1.61 created, 1.00 conceded against Swansea City

Southampton

2.09 xG created 1.30 xGA

W 4.14 created, 1.88 conceded against Wrexham
D 0.75 created, 1.64 conceded against Ipswich Town
L 2.59 created, 1.50 conceded against Stoke City
D 1.81 created, 0.55 conceded against Watford
D 1.18 created, 0.94 conceded against Portsmouth

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.