Derby County 1:1 Southampton: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 04/10/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Derby County Home 1.36 xG · 9 shots

Southampton Away 1.06 xG · 13 shots

11 Derby County had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

7' Adam Armstrong Southampton · 0.36 xG chance 0–1
40' Patrick Agyemang Derby County · 0.19 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Derby County Southampton

Shots: 9; 13
On target: 5; 6
Inside the box: 7; 7
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.08
Open play xG: 1.52; 0.97
Set-piece xG: 0.22; 0.06
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.74 for Derby County and 1.06 for Southampton.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 2.77 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Derby County
Southampton
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Derby County

0.84 xG created 1.20 xGA

D 0.47 created, 0.76 conceded against Bristol City
D 1.48 created, 2.91 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 0.32 created, 1.15 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
L 0.34 created, 0.90 conceded against Preston North End
D 0.64 created, 0.89 conceded against Wrexham
D 1.81 created, 0.60 conceded against Charlton Athletic

Southampton

1.52 xG created 1.04 xGA

L 2.59 created, 1.50 conceded against Stoke City
D 1.81 created, 0.55 conceded against Watford
D 1.18 created, 0.94 conceded against Portsmouth
L 1.07 created, 2.13 conceded against Hull City
D 0.85 created, 0.29 conceded against Middlesbrough
W 1.61 created, 0.85 conceded against Sheffield United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.