xgEdge

Saturday, 24/01/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Blackburn Rovers 1:1 Watford

Blackburn Rovers Home 0.89 xG · 7 shots
Watford Away 1.15 xG · 14 shots
11 Watford had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 26' Edo Kayembe Watford · 0.02 xG chance 0–1
  2. 28' Lewis Miller Blackburn Rovers · 0.05 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Blackburn Rovers Watford
Shots
7
14
On target
3
4
Inside the box
5
13
xG per shot
0.12
0.08
Open play xG
0.05
0.73
Set-piece xG
0.82
0.39
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.89 for Blackburn Rovers and 1.15 for Watford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 84' · No goal · 9 m · 0.49 xG Watford · Giorgi Chakvetadze · 56' · No goal · 11 m · 0.31 xG Watford · Luca Kjerrumgaard · 20' · No goal · 4 m · 0.21 xG Watford · Nestory Irankunda · 90' · No goal · 13 m · 0.14 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 63' · No goal · 8 m · 0.13 xG Watford · Nestory Irankunda · 90' · No goal · 13 m · 0.08 xG Blackburn Rovers · Sondre Tronstad · 58' · No goal · 13 m · 0.08 xG Watford · Nestory Irankunda · 77' · No goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Blackburn Rovers · Sondre Tronstad · 84' · No goal · 20 m · 0.07 xG Watford · Marc Bola · 9' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Blackburn Rovers · Lewis Miller · 28' · Goal · 5 m · 0.05 xG Watford · Kévin Keben Biakolo · 79' · No goal · 5 m · 0.05 xG Watford · Luca Kjerrumgaard · 48' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Blackburn Rovers · Sondre Tronstad · 86' · No goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG Watford · Luca Kjerrumgaard · 4' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Watford · Othmane Maamma · 52' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Watford · Othmane Maamma · 19' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Nestory Irankunda · 90' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 55' · No goal · 8 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Edo Kayembe · 26' · Goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Marc Bola · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

21 shots · 1.99 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Blackburn Rovers
  • Watford
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Blackburn Rovers

0.87 xG created 1.20 xGA

  • D 1.23 created, 0.75 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • D 0.81 created, 0.47 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • L 0.66 created, 0.67 conceded against Wrexham
  • D 0.85 created, 1.47 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • L 0.66 created, 2.86 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • L 0.98 created, 1.01 conceded against Swansea City
Watford

0.98 xG created 0.75 xGA

  • W 1.22 created, 0.52 conceded against Stoke City
  • W 1.40 created, 0.43 conceded against Leicester City
  • W 0.36 created, 0.95 conceded against Norwich City
  • W 1.56 created, 0.40 conceded against Birmingham City
  • L 0.54 created, 1.57 conceded against Millwall
  • D 0.80 created, 0.62 conceded against Portsmouth

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Blackburn Rovers: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.