Saturday, 20/12/2025 at 16:00
Full timeWatford 1:0 Stoke City
Goals
- 74' Luca Kjerrumgaard Watford · 0.33 xG chance 1–0
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 10
- 7
- On target
- 5
- 1
- Inside the box
- 7
- 5
- xG per shot
- 0.12
- 0.08
- Open play xG
- 0.61
- 0.43
- Set-piece xG
- 0.61
- 0.13
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.55 for Stoke City.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
17 shots · 1.78 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Watford
- Stoke City
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.52 xG created 1.07 xGA
- W 1.47 created, 0.62 conceded against Derby County
- D 1.70 created, 0.98 conceded against Preston North End
- L 1.03 created, 1.26 conceded against Birmingham City
- W 1.28 created, 1.88 conceded against Norwich City
- D 2.78 created, 0.48 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
- D 0.83 created, 1.20 conceded against Wrexham
0.66 xG created 1.24 xGA
- L 1.37 created, 1.49 conceded against Leicester City
- W 0.72 created, 0.18 conceded against Charlton Athletic
- L 0.80 created, 1.18 conceded against Hull City
- L 0.27 created, 2.43 conceded against Sheffield United
- L 0.33 created, 0.93 conceded against Ipswich Town
- W 0.46 created, 1.25 conceded against Swansea City
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.