Leicester City 1:2 Watford: xG & match report · Championship

Friday, 26/12/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Leicester City Home 0.43 xG · 9 shots

Watford Away 1.40 xG · 13 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

7' Jordan James Leicester City · 0.07 xG chance 1–0
45' Othmane Maamma Watford · 0.16 xG chance 1–1
65' Matthew Pollock Watford · 0.33 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Leicester City Watford

Shots: 9; 13
On target: 2; 3
Inside the box: 4; 7
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.38; 0.57
Set-piece xG: 0.04; 0.83
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.41 for Leicester City and 1.40 for Watford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 1.80 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Leicester City
Watford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Leicester City

1.07 xG created 1.71 xGA

L 0.44 created, 2.41 conceded against Southampton
L 0.98 created, 0.97 conceded against Sheffield United
W 1.20 created, 1.43 conceded against Derby County
D 1.69 created, 2.42 conceded against Bristol City
W 0.97 created, 1.28 conceded against Ipswich Town
L 1.14 created, 1.77 conceded against Queens Park Rangers

Watford

1.47 xG created 1.05 xGA

D 1.70 created, 0.98 conceded against Preston North End
L 1.03 created, 1.26 conceded against Birmingham City
W 1.28 created, 1.88 conceded against Norwich City
D 2.78 created, 0.48 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
D 0.83 created, 1.20 conceded against Wrexham
W 1.22 created, 0.52 conceded against Stoke City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.