xgEdge

Monday, 29/12/2025 at 20:45

Full time
Match report · Championship

Norwich City 0:1 Watford

Norwich City Home 0.95 xG · 9 shots
Watford Away 0.36 xG · 8 shots
01 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 90' Vivaldo Watford · 0.04 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Norwich City Watford
Shots
9
8
On target
1
2
Inside the box
7
5
xG per shot
0.11
0.04
Open play xG
0.73
0.15
Set-piece xG
0.23
0.21
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.36 for Watford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Norwich City · Tony Springett · 12' · No goal · 8 m · 0.26 xG Norwich City · Jovon Makama · 90' · No goal · 4 m · 0.23 xG Norwich City · Josh Sargent · 47' · No goal · 8 m · 0.21 xG Watford · Matthew Pollock · 79' · No goal · 7 m · 0.11 xG Norwich City · Josh Sargent · 68' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Watford · Tom Ince · 10' · No goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG Norwich City · Jacob Wright · 57' · No goal · 8 m · 0.05 xG Norwich City · Jacob Wright · 50' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Watford · Max Alleyne · 25' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Vivaldo · 90' · Goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Max Alleyne · 25' · No goal · 16 m · 0.03 xG Norwich City · Jacob Wright · 17' · No goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG Norwich City · Josh Sargent · 6' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG Norwich City · Kenny McLean · 6' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Matthew Pollock · 25' · No goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Marc Bola · 78' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Giorgi Chakvetadze · 19' · No goal · 30 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

17 shots · 1.31 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Norwich City
  • Watford
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Norwich City

1.22 xG created 1.46 xGA

  • W 1.31 created, 1.02 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • L 1.88 created, 1.28 conceded against Watford
  • D 1.26 created, 2.90 conceded against Sheffield United
  • W 1.33 created, 2.12 conceded against Southampton
  • D 0.40 created, 1.14 conceded against Preston North End
  • W 1.16 created, 0.31 conceded against Charlton Athletic
Watford

1.42 xG created 0.96 xGA

  • L 1.03 created, 1.26 conceded against Birmingham City
  • W 1.28 created, 1.88 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 2.78 created, 0.48 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • D 0.83 created, 1.20 conceded against Wrexham
  • W 1.22 created, 0.52 conceded against Stoke City
  • W 1.40 created, 0.43 conceded against Leicester City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Norwich City: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.