Tuesday, 25/11/2025 at 20:45
Full timeSwansea City 1:2 Derby County
Goals
- 34' Joe Ward Derby County · 0.07 xG chance 0–1
- 53' Lars-Jørgen Salvesen Derby County · 0.25 xG chance 0–2
- 90' Ethan Galbraith Swansea City · 0.10 xG chance 1–2
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 9
- 13
- On target
- 4
- 5
- Inside the box
- 4
- 9
- xG per shot
- 0.07
- 0.08
- Open play xG
- 0.46
- 0.84
- Set-piece xG
- 0.17
- 0.17
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.05 for Derby County.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
22 shots · 1.64 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Swansea City
- Derby County
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
0.60 xG created 1.38 xGA
- L 0.40 created, 2.05 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
- W 0.43 created, 1.17 conceded against Norwich City
- D 0.71 created, 0.93 conceded against Charlton Athletic
- L 0.69 created, 0.71 conceded against Preston North End
- L 0.43 created, 1.37 conceded against Ipswich Town
- L 0.94 created, 2.03 conceded against Bristol City
1.20 xG created 1.25 xGA
- W 0.95 created, 1.11 conceded against Norwich City
- W 1.67 created, 0.38 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
- W 2.15 created, 2.16 conceded against Sheffield United
- W 0.84 created, 1.28 conceded against Hull City
- W 0.95 created, 1.09 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
- L 0.62 created, 1.47 conceded against Watford
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
Show Hide
The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.